Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) beats Q3 FY2026 non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 0.65 per share (August 4, 2026, after market close)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 22. July 2026
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Predicted for 4. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Starbucks is in an operational turnaround under CEO Brian Niccol (since September 2024). The stock hit a new one-year high in July 2026, confirming market confidence in the rebound thesis. The EPS consensus of USD 0.65 for Q3 FY2026 implies +30% YoY growth (prior year: USD 0.50). Companies in CEO-driven turnaround phases historically beat analyst consensus at above-average rates. Revenue consensus: USD 9.20 billion. Starbucks beat consensus in Q1 and Q2 FY2026.
Data basis for this prediction
- SBUX Q3 FY2026 EPS-Konsens: 0,65 USD; Revenue: 9,20 Mrd. USD; Termin: 4. Aug. 2026 (Investing.com / TipRanks, Stand Juli 2026)
- Starbucks Aktie: neues 1-Jahres-Hoch im Juli 2026 (DefenseWorld, 19. Juli 2026)
- Starbucks Q2 FY2026 Ergebnis: EPS Beat (Starbucks Investor Relations / CNBC, April 2026)
- CEO Brian Niccol: operativer Fortschritt, Same-Store-Sales im positiven Bereich (Starbucks Q2 FY2026 Earnings Call)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Starbucks hat beim Q3-FY2026-Ergebnis (berichtet am 29. Juli 2026, nicht 4. August) den EPS-Konsens klar übertroffen: Das bereinigte Non-GAAP-EPS lag bei 0,85 USD je Aktie gegenüber einem Konsens von ca. 0,66 USD – ein Beat von +28,8 %. Dies entspricht einem Jahresvergleichs-Wachstum von +70 % (Vorjahr: 0,50 USD). Der Umsatz von 9,32 Mrd. USD verfehlte den Konsens von 9,44 Mrd. USD leicht (-1,2 %), was aber die EPS-Vorhersage nicht beeinträchtigt. Starbucks hob zudem die FY2026-Gesamtjahresguidance auf 2,55–2,65 USD EPS an. Die Aktie stieg nachbörslich um ~5 %. Quellen: [Yahoo Finance – Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/starbucks-sbux-q3-earnings-surpass-212507535.html), [Investing.com – Earnings Call Transcript](https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-starbucks-tops-q3-2026-estimates-shares-jump-51-93CH-4821865), [Seeking Alpha – Raised FY2026 Outlook](https://seekingalpha.com/news/4621102-starbucks-raises-fy2026-eps-outlook-to-2_55-2_65-while-targeting-at-least-1500-north-america)
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.