📈 Economy · Next Week

Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) beats Q3-FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus of ~$0.65 per share (July 29, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 19. July 2026 · Predicted for 29. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

62%

Under CEO Brian Niccol (since Fall 2024), operational restructuring has produced two consecutive EPS beats. Menu simplification, US price stability, and service acceleration showing early results. Q3-FY2026 consensus: ~$0.65 (+30% YoY vs. $0.50 Q3 FY2025). Risk: China same-store-sales pressure (Luckin competition), US consumer softness. No Polymarket signal.

Data basis for this prediction

Starbucks Investor Relations: Q3 FY2026 Earnings Call 29.07.2026
ScanX Trade: SBUX Q3 FY26 Reportdatum 29.07.2026, Konsens $0,65
Yahoo Finance SBUX Earnings Preview (Juli 2026)
TipRanks SBUX Earnings-Profil: Konsens $0,65 adj. EPS

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Starbucks hat am 29. Juli 2026 einen klaren EPS-Beat gemeldet: Bereinigter (Non-GAAP) EPS von 0,85 USD übertraf den Konsens von ca. 0,66 USD um rund 29 % und stieg 70 % gegenüber dem Vorjahresquartal (Q3 FY2025: 0,50 USD). GAAP-EPS lag bei 0,91 USD (+86 % YoY). Treiber waren starke Comparable-Store-Sales (+7,9 % global, getragen von +4,2 % Transaktionswachstum und +3,5 % höherem Ticket) sowie operative Margenverbesserung unter CEO Brian Niccol. Die gefürchteten Risiken (China-Druck, US-Konsumentenschwäche) materialisierten sich nicht stark genug, um das Ergebnis zu belasten. Starbucks hob zudem die Jahresprognose auf 2,55–2,65 USD je Aktie an; die Aktie stieg nachbörslich +4,3 %. Quellen: investor.starbucks.com (offizielle Pressemitteilung), Zacks/Yahoo Finance ('Adjusted earnings of 85 cents topped the consensus estimate of 66 cents by 28.8%'), CNBC Q3 2026 Earnings-Artikel.

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