Marine Le Pen (Rassemblement National) wins the runoff of the 2027 French Presidential Election (runoff election day approximately May 11, 2027, confirmed by Conseil Constitutionnel or Reuters by May 13, 2027)
Polymarket shows Marine Le Pen at 46% to win the next French presidential election — with a significant margin over the next candidate (5 Polymarket Markets to Watch, October 2026). With Macron barred from a third term, the political center is highly fragmented. RN leads in virtually all national polls. The runoff is expected in May 2027. Calibrated exactly at Polymarket market price: 46%.
46%