📈 Economy · Next Week

XRP/USD (spot) closes above $1.20 per unit on July 31, 2026

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 20. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

65%

XRP is trading at ~$1.08 on July 20, 2026 — a ~11% gain would be needed by month-end. Polymarket prices this scenario at 70%; Kalshi sees 66% for XRP above $1.35 within two weeks. The market reacts positively to the US crypto regulatory environment (CLARITY Act under discussion) but recently moderated after the delayed vote. The broad crypto market (BTC/ETH also in uptrend) supports XRP. Polymarket anchor: 70% for >$1.20. Own estimate: 65% (slightly conservative due to CLARITY Act uncertainty).

Data basis for this prediction

Polymarket: 70% für XRP >1,20 USD per 31.07.2026 – Stand 20.07.2026
Kalshi: 66% für XRP >1,35 USD innerhalb 2 Wochen – Stand 20.07.2026
CaptainAltcoin: XRP Spot-Preis 1,08 USD (–0,7%) per 20.07.2026
Finbold: 'XRP Prediction Markets predict above $1.20 by end of July' – 15.07.2026

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

XRP schloss am 31. Juli 2026 bei ca. 1,065–1,08 USD und damit deutlich unter der Schwelle von 1,20 USD. Polymarket wies im Nachhinein 100 % Wahrscheinlichkeit für eine Schlusskurs-Range von 1,00–1,10 USD aus, was mit dem tatsächlichen Preis übereinstimmt. Der Kurs stabilisierte sich nach der Fed-Sitzung vom 29. Juli lediglich knapp über der 1-Dollar-Marke; ein Anstieg auf >1,20 USD (benötigt: +11 % ab dem Ausgangswert vom 20. Juli) blieb aus. Quellen: wallstreet-online.de (31.07.2026), Polymarket-Event 'XRP price on July 31?', 247wallst.com.

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