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Xander Schauffele (USA) completes Round 1 of The Open Championship 2026 (Royal Birkdale, July 16, 2026) with a score of 70 or better (par or better)
Probability
42%
Xander Schauffele won The Open Championship 2024 and is one of the strongest links players on tour. Royal Birkdale (par 70) suits him particularly well due to his controlled ball flight and low trajectory. Among the 156-player field, open predictions already cover McIlroy (≤70 round 1) and Scheffler (≤70 round 1) – Schauffele is in the same performance tier but is not the subject of any existing prediction. With moderate wind on the Lancashire coast (forecast: 18–22 km/h), par or better is realistic for a major champion. No Polymarket market specifically for Schauffele round 1 found. Calibration: 42% based on player tier, course profile, and historical R1 performance of top-10 world-ranked players at majors.
Data basis for this prediction
- The Open Championship 2026: Runde 1 startet 16. Juli 2026, Royal Birkdale, Par 70 (PGA Tour, Stand 15.07.2026)
- Schauffele gewinnt The Open Championship 2024 (Royal Troon) – letzter Major-Sieg bei Links-Turnier (ESPN, Juli 2024)
- Royal-Birkdale-Windprognose: 18–22 km/h aus Südwest (Met Office UK, 15.07.2026)
- Schauffele ATP-Weltrangliste: Top-5 Weltrangliste (OWGR, Stand Juli 2026)
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Xander Schauffele schoss 69 (−1) in Runde 1 – 69 ≤ 70 (par oder besser auf Par-70-Platz erfüllt). Quelle: PGA Tour-Leaderboard.