📈 Economy · Next Week

WTI Crude Oil (NYMEX Front-Month) closes above $86.00/barrel on August 25, 2026 (Tuesday) (confirmed by CME closing price or Bloomberg)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 23. August 2026 · Predicted for 25. August 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

68%

WTI closed at $86.64 (+0.63%) on August 22, 2026. The Strait of Hormuz remains closed due to the US–Iran conflict, causing Gulf supply shortfalls. OPEC lowered its 2026 demand forecast, but absent Gulf volumes outweigh. Iran launched ballistic missiles at a US base in Jordan on July 28, 2026 — escalation risk structurally supports the risk premium. No specific Polymarket market for WTI on Aug 25; basis: current level $86.64, price must fall <1% to miss the threshold.

Data basis for this prediction

convextrade.com: WTI Crude Oil $86.64 +0.63% (22. Aug 2026)
axios.com: Iran launches missiles at US base in Jordan — first direct attack since Trump paused strikes (28. Juli 2026)
eia.gov: Short-Term Energy Outlook — Strait of Hormuz closure impacts global supply (Aug 2026)
Polymarket: WTI August 2026 price levels — market active with $16.6M volume (23. Aug 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] WTI-Rohöl schloss am 25. Aug. 2026 bei ~$84,35/Barrel (Tageshoch $85,84), klar unter der Schwelle von $86,00. Quelle: Investing.com historische Daten.

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