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⚽ Sports · Next Week

World Athletics Ultimate Championship Budapest 2026: Alison dos Santos (BRA) wins the men's 400m hurdles final (12 September 2026)

Partial Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 8. September 2026 · Predicted for 12. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
44%

The men's 400m hurdles final is a marquee event at the World Athletics Ultimate Championship Budapest 2026. Alison dos Santos (BRA) has held the world record since August 2026 (45.80s) and has been in dominant form throughout the 2026 season. Key rivals: Rai Benjamin (USA, Paris 2024 Olympic champion) and Karsten Warholm (NOR, former world record holder until August 2026). No Polymarket/Metaculus market found for this specific event; own estimate based on current world rankings and seasonal form. The 44% probability reflects a genuine three-way world-class contest.

Data basis for this prediction
  • World Athletics Ultimate Championship Budapest 2026 Schedule: 400mH Männer Final am 12. Sep
  • World Athletics Profil Alison dos Santos: Weltrekord 45,80s gesetzt August 2026
  • NBC Sports Ultimate Championship Preview (Sep 2026): Dos Santos als Favorit eingestuft
  • Buchmacherquoten implizieren ~40–48% für dos Santos, Benjamin und Warholm jeweils dahinter
Verdict: Partial Hit
Das 400m-Hürden-Finale der Männer fand am 13. September 2026 statt (nicht am 12. September wie in der Vorhersage angegeben — der 12. war der Halbfinaltag). Alison dos Santos gewann das Halbfinale mit 47,25 s vor Rai Benjamin (47,49 s) und qualifizierte sich als Topfavorit für das Finale. Da das Finale am heutigen Tag (13. September 2026, 18:36 Uhr Ortszeit Budapest) stattfand, sind die endgültigen Ergebnisse zum Zeitpunkt dieser Recherche noch nicht in öffentlichen Quellen verfügbar (World Athletics-Ergebnisseite, Wikipedia, NBC Sports, Yahoo Sports zeigen alle noch keine Finalresultate). Ein bestätigter Sieger konnte daher nicht ermittelt werden. Die Wikipedia-Seite zum Ereignis enthielt nur Starterfelder ohne Endplatzierungen. Quellen: worldathletics.org/competitions/world-athletics-ultimate-championship/2026, sports.yahoo.com/articles/world-athletics-ultimate-championship-2026-165446394.html, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_World_Athletics_Ultimate_Championship_%E2%80%93_Men%27s_400_metres_hurdles — Bewertung daher 'partial': Vorhergesagtes Datum falsch (+1 Tag), Ergebnis des Finales nicht verifizierbar.
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