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⚽ Sports · Next Week

World Athletics Budapest 2026 (Sep 13): Karsten Warholm (NOR) Wins Men's 400m Hurdles Final

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 6. September 2026 · Predicted for 13. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
62%

Karsten Warholm holds the world record (45.94s) and is a three-time world champion in the 400m hurdles. His only serious rival is Alison dos Santos (BRA). Bookmaker odds imply ~60–65% for Warholm. Risks: track injury vulnerability, dos Santos' continuous improvement. At major championships Warholm has not lost when fit.

Data basis for this prediction
  • World Athletics Profil Warholm: WR 45,94 s, 3× Weltmeister (WA.org)
  • Saison-Bestenliste 400mH Männer 2026 (World Athletics, Aug 2026)
  • Buchmacherquoten implizieren ~62 % für Warholm (aggregiert, 5. Sep 2026)
Verdict: Miss
Alison dos Santos (BRA) gewann das 400-m-Hürden-Finale der Männer bei der World Athletics Ultimate Championship 2026 in Budapest in 45,98 s. Karsten Warholm belegte mit 46,78 s nur den dritten Platz, auch Rai Benjamin (USA, 46,40 s) lag vor ihm. dos Santos hatte im Vorfeld der WM in Zürich mit 45,80 s den Weltrekord verbessert und war in Topform angereist. Die Vorhersage erkannte dos Santos als Hauptrisiko, unterschätzte aber seine Formverbesserung und das Auftreten Benjamins. Quellen: worldathletics.org (Rennbericht), flotrack.org.
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