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World Cup Semifinal France–Spain (July 14, Dallas): France leads by at least one goal at half-time
Probability
38%
France are clear favourites: bookmaker odds imply ~56% win probability over 90 minutes (Moneyline France -130, FanDuel via CBS Sports). France scored 16 goals conceding just 2 in the tournament — the most clinical and solid side of the remaining four. Mbappé leads the Golden Boot race with 8 goals and 3 assists. A half-time lead is estimated at ~38–40% by bookmakers (HT/FT France/France is the most quoted combination). Spain has conceded only once, limiting a high-scoring first half. This prediction is fully consistent with open calls on Mbappé scoring, Spain netting (possible in 2nd half), and France ultimately winning.
Data basis for this prediction
- CBS Sports: France -130 Moneyline / -148 to advance, FanDuel Sportsbook (12. Juli 2026)
- Al Jazeera: France–Spain WM-Halbfinale Preview – Frankreich 16:2 Tore im Turnier (12. Juli 2026)
- ESPN/SportsLine: World Cup Semifinal Preview & Odds – France vs. Spain (Juli 2026)
- SI.com: France vs. Spain Opening Odds for World Cup Semifinals (Juli 2026)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Spanien führte zur Halbzeit 1:0 (Oyarzabal, 22. Min.), nicht Frankreich. Quelle: fussballnationalmannschaft.net: 'Spanien führt nach der ersten Halbzeit mit 1:0'. Frankreich lag zur Halbzeit hinten, nicht vorne.