⚽ Sports · Next Week

2026 World Cup Final (MetLife Stadium, July 19): At least 3 goals scored in the match (including extra time)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. July 2026 · Predicted for 19. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

52%

Polymarket prices France–Argentina as the most likely final matchup at 26%, France–England at 22% (defirate.com/Polymarket, July 12, 2026). In all probable finals, elite forwards are involved: Mbappé (8 WC goals), Messi (8), or Kane (6). Historically, 2 of the last 5 World Cup finals produced more than 2.5 goals across 90 minutes and extra time (2022: 6 total; 2018: 6 total). A France–Argentina final in particular would strongly favour a high-scoring encounter. The core over/under event for the 2026 final remains an open prediction slot.

Data basis for this prediction

Polymarket WM-Finale Matchup: Frankreich–Argentinien 26%, Frankreich–England 22% (defirate.com, 12.07.2026)
WM 2026 Top-Scorer: Mbappé 8 Tore, Messi 8 Tore, Kane 6 Tore (goal.com, 12.07.2026)
Historische WM-Final-Tore 2006–2022: Over-2.5 in 2/5 Finals (statistische Auswertung)

Verdict: Miss

Im WM-Finale 2026 (19. Juli, MetLife Stadium) besiegte Spanien Argentinien 1:0 nach Verlängerung. Einziges Tor: Ferran Torres in der 106. Minute. Es fiel insgesamt nur 1 Tor – die Schwelle von mindestens 3 Toren wurde klar verfehlt. Spanien dominierte mit 20:2 Torschüssen und 1,94 xGoals, blieb aber bis zur Verlängerung erfolglos. Quellen: zdfheute.de, sportschau.de, fussballnationalmannschaft.net (alle vom 19.07.2026).

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