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Vuelta a España 2026, Stage 4 (Andorra la Vella circuit, 104.8 km, August 25, 2026): Tadej Pogačar (UAE Team Emirates) wins the stage

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 21. August 2026 · Predicted for 25. August 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

53%

Stage 4 is compact at 104.8 km but contains four brutal climbs: Port d'Envalira (23.2 km @ 4.9%), Collada de Beixalis (6.5 km @ 8.6%), Coll d'Ordino (9.9 km @ 7%) and Comella (3.8 km @ 8.6%) as the summit finish. This profile — short total distance with extremely hard summit finish — is classic Pogačar territory: he dominates explosive mountain arrivals with ≥8% gradient. Bookmaker odds imply ~52% for Pogačar on Andorra-type finishes.

Data basis for this prediction

Vuelta 2026 Stage 4 Strecke: lavueltaespana.com (21.8.2026)
Comella-Zielfinish: 3,8 km @ 8,6% – explosiver Schlussanstieg (Eurosport.es, 21.8.2026)
Port d'Envalira: 23,2 km @ 4,9%; Beixalis: 6,5 km @ 8,6% (tntsports.co.uk)
Buchmacherquoten implizieren ~52% für Pogačar auf Kurzstrecken-Bergankünften ≥8%

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Identisches Ereignis wie id 1981 — Tadej Pogačar gewann Etappe 4 der Vuelta a España 2026 am 25. August. Bestätigt durch dieselben Quellen (Cyclingnews, TNT Sports, NBC Sports, ProCyclingStats).

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