Visa Inc. (NYSE: V) beats Q3-FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $3.22 per share (28 July 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 16. July 2026
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Predicted for 28. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Visa reports Q3 FY2026 results (April–June 2026 fiscal quarter) on 28 July 2026. Adjusted EPS consensus stands at approx. $3.22 (+8.1% YoY). Visa has beaten consensus in 11 of the last 12 quarters (~83% historical hit rate). Drivers: cross-border payment volumes remain strong (travel boom, e-commerce), US consumer spending positive in June 2026 (Retail Sales MoM positive, 16.07.2026), weaker USD (EUR/USD 1.1474) supports international earnings. The Hormuz crisis affects shipping but has no direct effect on Visa's payment network revenues. No direct Polymarket market; historical beat rate implies ~70%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Visa Q3-FY2026 Berichtsdatum: 28. Juli 2026, EPS-Konsens 3,22 USD (Visa IR, 16.07.2026)
- Visa Q2-FY2026: EPS 3,00 USD (Beat; Visa Earnings Call, April 2026)
- US Retail Sales Juni 2026: positiv MoM (Census Bureau, 16.07.2026)
- EUR/USD: 1,1474 per 16.07.2026 (MTFX)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Visa meldete am 28. Juli 2026 für Q3 FY2026 (April–Juni 2026) einen bereinigten (non-GAAP) EPS von 3,32 USD – klar über dem Konsens von ca. 3,22–3,23 USD, was einer positiven Überraschung von +2,79 % entspricht. Zudem übertraf der Umsatz mit 11,63 Mrd. USD den Konsens von ~11,38 Mrd. USD um rund 2 %. Treiber waren 10 % Wachstum beim Zahlungsvolumen (erstmals >4 Bio. USD in einem Quartal), +12 % grenzüberschreitendes Volumen und starkes Wachstum bei Value-Added Services (+34 %). Quellen: Yahoo Finance ('Visa (V) Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates'), Alphastreet ('Visa Releases Q3 2026 Financial Results'), offizielle Visa Earnings Release (q4cdn.com).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Bitcoin at $78,136 (September 9, 2026). Kalshi markets assign ~83% probability of BTC touching $100,000 at any point in 2026. Polymarket gives BTC 68% odds to close above $90,000 by year-end. A year-end close above $100,000 (not just a touch) is more demanding: median year-end contract estimates imply ~$81,000. Arguments for >$100k close: historical Q4 seasonality (+49% in Q4 2024, +56% in Q4 2023), ETF inflows, institutional demand. Headwinds: active Fed hiking cycle (~3.75% current funds rate), 10yr yield at 4.86%.