USD/JPY spot rate closes below 151.00 JPY per USD on September 22, 2026 (following Bank of Japan rate hike to 1.25% on September 18, 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 17. September 2026
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Predicted for 22. September 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
The Bank of Japan is expected by 52 of 52 market observers (Bloomberg) to raise the key rate to 1.25% on September 18, 2026. The existing open prediction 'USD/JPY below 153.00 on September 19' implies an already-priced initial reaction. By the first regular trading day after the weekend (September 22), additional carry-trade unwinds could further strengthen the yen — especially as JPY is already under appreciation pressure following the FOMC hike to 3.75–4.00% on September 16. A decline from ~153 (post-BoJ, Sept 19) to below 151 (Sept 22) represents approximately −1.3% — within the range of typical post-hike carry unwinds. No direct Polymarket anchor for this specific target date; consistent with EUR/JPY prediction of <177.50 on September 19.
Data basis for this prediction
- Bloomberg: 52/52 BoJ-Beobachter erwarten Leitzinserhöhung auf 1,25 % am 18.09.2026
- FOMC-Entscheidung 16.09.2026: Fed Funds Rate auf 3,75–4,00 % angehoben (CNBC/Federal Reserve Board)
- FXStreet Economic Calendar: BoJ Interest Rate Decision, 18.09.2026
- Offene Vorhersage (Cassandra.news): USD/JPY unter 153,00 am 19.09.2026 als Ankerpreis
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] USD/JPY lag am 21.09.2026 bei 157,23 JPY/USD – trotz BoJ-Zinserhöhung am 18.09. kein Fall unter 151,00 (Federal Reserve H.10).
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