US Consumer Price Index (CPI) September 2026 (BLS, release approx. October 14, 2026): Annual inflation rate above 3.2%
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 17. September 2026
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Predicted for 14. October 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
US CPI stood at +3.4% YoY in August 2026 (+0.4% MoM), driven by gasoline prices (+27.4% YoY) and fuel oil (+52% YoY). Core inflation (ex-energy/food) fell to 2.4% — lowest since March 2021. For September 2026, energy remains the decisive factor: Brent crude trades at $104–109/barrel (September 17), WTI at $102 — levels that keep the year-on-year comparison elevated. The Fed just raised rates to 3.75–4.00%, implying persistently high inflation. A drop in the headline rate from 3.4% (August) to below 3.2% (September) would require a significant fall in energy prices or an accelerated easing of shelter inflation — both unlikely in the short term. No existing Cassandra contract covers US CPI September data.
Data basis for this prediction
- US CPI August 2026: +3,4 % YoY, +0,4 % MoM; Kern-CPI: +2,4 % (BLS, 11.09.2026 via CNBC/usinflationcalculator.com)
- Brent Crude: 104–109 USD/Barrel; WTI: 102,13 USD/Barrel (17.09.2026, TradingEconomics)
- Fed Funds Rate auf 3,75–4,00 % angehoben (September 2026, Fed-Pressemitteilung via Bloomberg)
- Benzinpreise August 2026: +27,4 % YoY; Heizöl: +52 % YoY (BLS CPI-Report 11.09.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] US-CPI September 2026 Jahresinflation: 3,6% (deutlich über der Schwelle von 3,2%). Quelle: Investing.com Economic Calendar (BLS), 14. Oktober 2026.
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