📈 Economy · Next Week

US Consumer Price Index (CPI) August 2026 (BLS, release September 11, 2026): annual inflation rate below 3.5% (confirmed by BLS press release by September 11, 2026)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 7. September 2026 · Predicted for 11. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

72%

July CPI came in at exactly 3.4% YoY (headline; Dow Jones consensus confirmed). S&P Global forecasts an average headline CPI of 3.2% for 2026. While rising energy prices from Middle East tensions (Brent: $97.39 in September) exert mild upward pressure, a jump above the 3.5% mark within a single month remains structurally unlikely. Kalshi maintains a dedicated market for August 2026 CPI; market consensus points to a reading below 3.5%. Complements the existing '>3.0%' forecast as a complementary upper bound.

Data basis for this prediction

BLS: Consumer Price Index July 2026 = +3,4 % YoY, +0,1 % MoM (August 2026)
S&P Global / Eller-Arizona: US Forecast Update August 2026 – Headline CPI ~3,2 % Jahresdurchschnitt 2026
Kalshi: 'Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)' – Markt aktiv, Release 11. September 2026 08:30 ET
Finance Calendar: US CPI Report August 2026 – event details und Konsensschätzung

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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