⚽ Sports · Next Month

US Open 2026 (Men's Singles): Daniil Medvedev (RUS, seed #5) reaches the quarterfinals (approx. September 8–10, 2026, USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, confirmed by USTA or ATP)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 27. August 2026 · Predicted for 9. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

53%

Medvedev is a three-time US Open finalist (2019, 2021 champion, 2023) and one of the best hard-court players. As 5th seed he avoids Top-4 seeds until at least the QF. The US Open draw was held August 27, 2026. Historical QF probability for a top-5 seed at a major is 50–55%. Open predictions for Zverev QF, Alcaraz SF, Sinner SF and FAA QF sit in separate draw quadrants and do not contradict Medvedev reaching the QF.

Data basis for this prediction

ATP Tour: US Open 2026 Draw Preview – Alcaraz und Djokovic in derselben Hälfte (atptour.com, Stand 27.08.2026)
ESPN: 2026 US Open Men's Singles Bracket (espn.com, Stand 27.08.2026)
Olympics.com: US Open 2026 Schedule, Hauptfeld ab 30.08.2026 (olympics.com, Stand 27.08.2026)

Verdict: Miss

Medvedev schied im Achtelfinale (Vierte Runde) aus, nicht im Viertelfinale. Frances Tiafoe (11. Gesetzter, USA) besiegte ihn am 6. September 2026 in drei Sätzen: 7-6 (7/1), 6-4, 7-6 (8/6). Medvedev führte in zwei der drei Sätze, verlor aber entscheidende Momente. Zudem war Medvedev in Wirklichkeit als Nr. 7 gesetzt, nicht als Nr. 5 wie in der Vorhersage angegeben. Quellen: [Deccan Chronicle](https://www.deccanchronicle.com/sports/us-open-2026-tiafoe-tops-medvedev-in-straight-sets-to-reach-quarterfinals-1985480), [Sports World News](https://www.sportsworldnews.com/articles/80248/20260907/tiafoe-defeats-medvedev-michelsen-noskova-also-reach-us-open-quarterfinals.htm), [TSN](https://www.tsn.ca/tennis/video/2026/09/06/tiafoe-upsets-medvedev-to-advance-to-quarters-at-us-open/)

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