US ISM Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI for July 2026 at 50.0 or above (released approx. August 5, 2026, confirmed by ISM Report On Business)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 25. July 2026
·
Predicted for 5. August 2026
·
Based on: Ongoing Event
The ISM Services PMI for June 2026 came in at 54.0, matching consensus and firmly in expansion territory. The US services sector has been in uninterrupted expansion for 12+ months. Sub-indices: Business Activity 55.4%, New Orders 55.1%, Employment 51.2%. Even a sharp July pullback would be unlikely to breach the 50 threshold. No Polymarket anchor; historical Services PMI stability above 50 is well-established. Note: this is the Services PMI — the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July is already separately forecast.
Data basis for this prediction
- ISM Services PMI Juni 2026: 54,0 (Konsens 54,0); Business Activity 55,4 %; New Orders 55,1 % (ISM / PR Newswire, 6. Juli 2026)
- ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI: 12+ Monate ununterbrochen über 50 (ISM Report History)
- Veröffentlichungsdatum ISM Services Juli 2026: ca. 5. August 2026 (ISM Release Calendar)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Der ISM Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI für Juli 2026 wurde am 5. August 2026 veröffentlicht und lag bei 54,1 % – deutlich über der Schwelle von 50,0. Dies markierte den 25. aufeinanderfolgenden Monat in der Expansionszone. Quelle: ISM® Services PMI® Report On Business (PR Newswire, https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/services-pmi-at-54-1-july-2026-ism-services-pmi-report-302843134.html)
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Take-Two Interactive reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) results on November 9 after market close. Estimated analyst consensus: approx. -$0.45 EPS (heavy investment cycle around GTA VI and other AAA titles). TTWO has beaten consensus in 6 of the last 8 quarters; strong Recurrent Consumer Spending base (mobile, NBA 2K, GTA Online) consistently delivers positive surprises on cost discipline. Report date confirmed by TipRanks Earnings Calendar (as of Nov 8, 2026). Verification by TTWO Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 ET.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Constellation Energy reports Q3-FY2026 tomorrow (November 9, 2026) before market open. TradingView and Gurufocus put the EPS consensus at $3.90/share, with revenue consensus at $9.23B. CEG has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters — an 87.5% historical beat rate. Driver: Structurally rising nuclear power demand for AI data centers (e.g., Microsoft contracts) boosts reactor utilization and secures stable cash flows. Risk: Stock fell ~9% post-midterm results, reflecting repriced regulatory uncertainty that could overshadow near-term operational strength. Strong fundamentals and consistent beat history nevertheless support another consensus beat.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Walmart has beaten EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters. The official consensus is $0.64/share — identical to the top of management guidance ($0.62–$0.64). Analysts average $0.72 (range $0.70–$0.73), anticipating another structural beat. Drivers: Robust US consumer (October CPI ~3.5–3.7%; September retail sales +0.8% MoM), ongoing grocery market share gains, and strong e-commerce and advertising growth. Risk: Management lowered full-year guidance after Q2; macro headwinds from elevated prices could compress volume mixes. The consistent beat history and structural tailwinds prevail.