📈 Economy
· Next Month
US ISM Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI for July 2026 at 50.0 or above (released approx. August 5, 2026, confirmed by ISM Report On Business)
Probability
82%
The ISM Services PMI for June 2026 came in at 54.0, matching consensus and firmly in expansion territory. The US services sector has been in uninterrupted expansion for 12+ months. Sub-indices: Business Activity 55.4%, New Orders 55.1%, Employment 51.2%. Even a sharp July pullback would be unlikely to breach the 50 threshold. No Polymarket anchor; historical Services PMI stability above 50 is well-established. Note: this is the Services PMI — the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July is already separately forecast.
Data basis for this prediction
- ISM Services PMI Juni 2026: 54,0 (Konsens 54,0); Business Activity 55,4 %; New Orders 55,1 % (ISM / PR Newswire, 6. Juli 2026)
- ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI: 12+ Monate ununterbrochen über 50 (ISM Report History)
- Veröffentlichungsdatum ISM Services Juli 2026: ca. 5. August 2026 (ISM Release Calendar)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Der ISM Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI für Juli 2026 wurde am 5. August 2026 veröffentlicht und lag bei 54,1 % – deutlich über der Schwelle von 50,0. Dies markierte den 25. aufeinanderfolgenden Monat in der Expansionszone. Quelle: ISM® Services PMI® Report On Business (PR Newswire, https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/services-pmi-at-54-1-july-2026-ism-services-pmi-report-302843134.html)