📈 Economy · Next Week

US ISM Manufacturing PMI July 2026 (release August 3, 2026, 10:00 ET): prints at 50.0 or above (expansion zone)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 25. July 2026 · Predicted for 3. August 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

64%

US ISM Manufacturing PMI was 53.3% in June 2026 — the strongest in about a year. Germany's S&P Global Flash PMI for July 2026 printed at 52.2% on July 24 (consensus: 50.5%), signaling continued global manufacturing tailwinds. A single-month drop back below 50 from this level would be historically unusual. No Polymarket/Kalshi contract found.

Data basis for this prediction

ISM World: US ISM Manufacturing PMI Juni 2026: 53,3 % (01.07.2026)
S&P Global / investinglive.com: Deutschland Flash Mfg PMI Juli 2026: 52,2 vs. Konsens 50,5 (24.07.2026)
ISM World Release Calendar: US ISM Mfg PMI Juli 2026 — Release 3. August 2026, 10:00 ET

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Der ISM Manufacturing PMI für Juli 2026 wurde am 3. August 2026 mit 55,6 % veröffentlicht – deutlich über der Expansionsgrenze von 50,0 %. Das ist sogar 2,3 Prozentpunkte höher als der Juni-Wert (53,3 %) und der stärkste Wert seit Mai 2022. Die Vorhersage trat klar ein. Quellen: ISM® via PR Newswire (https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/manufacturing-pmi-at-55-6-july-2026-ism-manufacturing-pmi-report-302840669.html), Yahoo Finance, EMSNow.

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