US ISM Manufacturing PMI July 2026 (release August 3, 2026, 10:00 ET): prints at 50.0 or above (expansion zone)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 25. July 2026
·
Predicted for 3. August 2026
·
Based on: Ongoing Event
US ISM Manufacturing PMI was 53.3% in June 2026 — the strongest in about a year. Germany's S&P Global Flash PMI for July 2026 printed at 52.2% on July 24 (consensus: 50.5%), signaling continued global manufacturing tailwinds. A single-month drop back below 50 from this level would be historically unusual. No Polymarket/Kalshi contract found.
Data basis for this prediction
- ISM World: US ISM Manufacturing PMI Juni 2026: 53,3 % (01.07.2026)
- S&P Global / investinglive.com: Deutschland Flash Mfg PMI Juli 2026: 52,2 vs. Konsens 50,5 (24.07.2026)
- ISM World Release Calendar: US ISM Mfg PMI Juli 2026 — Release 3. August 2026, 10:00 ET
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Der ISM Manufacturing PMI für Juli 2026 wurde am 3. August 2026 mit 55,6 % veröffentlicht – deutlich über der Expansionsgrenze von 50,0 %. Das ist sogar 2,3 Prozentpunkte höher als der Juni-Wert (53,3 %) und der stärkste Wert seit Mai 2022. Die Vorhersage trat klar ein. Quellen: ISM® via PR Newswire (https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/manufacturing-pmi-at-55-6-july-2026-ism-manufacturing-pmi-report-302840669.html), Yahoo Finance, EMSNow.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Take-Two Interactive reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) results on November 9 after market close. Estimated analyst consensus: approx. -$0.45 EPS (heavy investment cycle around GTA VI and other AAA titles). TTWO has beaten consensus in 6 of the last 8 quarters; strong Recurrent Consumer Spending base (mobile, NBA 2K, GTA Online) consistently delivers positive surprises on cost discipline. Report date confirmed by TipRanks Earnings Calendar (as of Nov 8, 2026). Verification by TTWO Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 ET.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Constellation Energy reports Q3-FY2026 tomorrow (November 9, 2026) before market open. TradingView and Gurufocus put the EPS consensus at $3.90/share, with revenue consensus at $9.23B. CEG has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters — an 87.5% historical beat rate. Driver: Structurally rising nuclear power demand for AI data centers (e.g., Microsoft contracts) boosts reactor utilization and secures stable cash flows. Risk: Stock fell ~9% post-midterm results, reflecting repriced regulatory uncertainty that could overshadow near-term operational strength. Strong fundamentals and consistent beat history nevertheless support another consensus beat.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Walmart has beaten EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters. The official consensus is $0.64/share — identical to the top of management guidance ($0.62–$0.64). Analysts average $0.72 (range $0.70–$0.73), anticipating another structural beat. Drivers: Robust US consumer (October CPI ~3.5–3.7%; September retail sales +0.8% MoM), ongoing grocery market share gains, and strong e-commerce and advertising growth. Risk: Management lowered full-year guidance after Q2; macro headwinds from elevated prices could compress volume mixes. The consistent beat history and structural tailwinds prevail.