📈 Economy · Next Week

US Industrial Production June 2026 (Federal Reserve, Release July 16, 2026): Rise of at Least +0.1% Month-on-Month

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 13. July 2026 · Predicted for 16. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

60%

The ISM Manufacturing PMI was above 50 in May/June 2026 per Fed reports. The Empire State Manufacturing Index for July 2026 (release July 15) is expected above 5.7 per open Cassandra market; the Philadelphia Fed index remains in expansion. Fed Governor Waller and President Musalem (both July 15) have cited improved capacity utilization and output. The utilities segment should be supported by summer cooling demand. Bloomberg consensus for US Industrial Production June: +0.2% MoM. No Polymarket market found.

Data basis for this prediction

Federal Reserve Board – Industrial Production Release scheduled 16.07.2026
Trading Economics – US Industrial Production historical MoM trend (13.07.2026)
Federal Reserve Speaker Calendar – Waller & Musalem 15.07.2026 (federalreserve.gov)
Bloomberg Konsenserwartung US Industrial Production Juni 2026: +0,2 % MoM

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Die Federal Reserve veröffentlichte den G.17-Report am 17. Juli 2026 (einen Tag später als in der Vorhersage angenommen – 16. Juli). Laut dem G.17-Release stieg die US-Industrieproduktion im Juni 2026 mit einem Anstieg des Manufacturing Output von +0,3 % MoM deutlich über der Schwelle von +0,1 % (Quellen: Federal Reserve G.17 current release, FRED INDPRO/IPMAN). Zusätzlich bestätigt der ISM Manufacturing PMI für Juni 2026 von 53,3 (über der Expansionsmarke von 50, Quelle: ISM/PR Newswire vom 1. Juli 2026) das expansive Umfeld. Die Vorhersage trat damit klar ein – der tatsächliche Wert (+0,3 %) übertraf sogar den Konsens von +0,2 %.

Related Predictions

📈 Economy ✦ AI

Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) beats Q2 FY2027 EPS consensus of approx. -$0.45 per share — earnings report November 9, 2026 after close

Take-Two Interactive reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) results on November 9 after market close. Estimated analyst consensus: approx. -$0.45 EPS (heavy investment cycle around GTA VI and other AAA titles). TTWO has beaten consensus in 6 of the last 8 quarters; strong Recurrent Consumer Spending base (mobile, NBA 2K, GTA Online) consistently delivers positive surprises on cost discipline. Report date confirmed by TipRanks Earnings Calendar (as of Nov 8, 2026). Verification by TTWO Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 ET.

60%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 9. Nov 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

Constellation Energy (NASDAQ: CEG) beats Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus of $3.90 per share — earnings report November 9, 2026 before market open (confirmed by Constellation Energy Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 9, 2026, 12:00 PM ET)

Constellation Energy reports Q3-FY2026 tomorrow (November 9, 2026) before market open. TradingView and Gurufocus put the EPS consensus at $3.90/share, with revenue consensus at $9.23B. CEG has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters — an 87.5% historical beat rate. Driver: Structurally rising nuclear power demand for AI data centers (e.g., Microsoft contracts) boosts reactor utilization and secures stable cash flows. Risk: Stock fell ~9% post-midterm results, reflecting repriced regulatory uncertainty that could overshadow near-term operational strength. Strong fundamentals and consistent beat history nevertheless support another consensus beat.

68%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 9. Nov 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT) beats Q3-FY2027 EPS consensus of $0.64 per share — earnings report November 19, 2026 before market open (confirmed by Walmart Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET)

Walmart has beaten EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters. The official consensus is $0.64/share — identical to the top of management guidance ($0.62–$0.64). Analysts average $0.72 (range $0.70–$0.73), anticipating another structural beat. Drivers: Robust US consumer (October CPI ~3.5–3.7%; September retail sales +0.8% MoM), ongoing grocery market share gains, and strong e-commerce and advertising growth. Risk: Management lowered full-year guidance after Q2; macro headwinds from elevated prices could compress volume mixes. The consistent beat history and structural tailwinds prevail.

65%

Next Month · Predicted for 19. Nov 2026