US Federal Reserve FOMC September 16, 2026: policy rate raised by 25 basis points
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 9. September 2026
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Predicted for 16. September 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
Polymarket prices a 25 bps hike at 52–54% (as of Sept 8, $104.9M traded). Drivers: strong August employment (162,000 jobs, unemployment 4.1%), inflation above 2% target (energy-driven, US-Iran conflict). Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is hawkish. An open platform prediction ('DAX below 25,500 on Sept 17 after the Fed rate hike of Sept 16') implies the platform already treats a hike as baseline. Risk against the hike: recession concerns.
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket FOMC September 2026: 52–54 % für 25-bps-Hike ($104,9 Mio. Volumen, 8. September 2026)
- KuCoin News: Polymarket prices 53% odds Fed rate hike September 2026 (September 2026)
- FedRateCalc.com: FOMC-Sitzung 15.–16. September 2026, Ankündigung 16. September 14:00 ET
- US August Arbeitsmarktbericht: 162.000 neue Stellen, Arbeitslosigkeit 4,1 % (veröffentlicht September 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] FOMC beschloss am 16. September 2026 eine Anhebung um 25 Bps. Quelle: CNBC, 16.09.2026.
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