📈 Economy · Tomorrow

US Dollar Index (DXY) closes below 99.00 on September 4, 2026 (NFP day), confirmed by ICE or Bloomberg closing price

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 3. September 2026 · Predicted for 4. September 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

57%

DXY stands at 99.50 on September 3 (Vantage Markets/TradingEconomics). On September 4, BLS releases August NFP; open predictions put it below 75,000 and 60,000. A material miss of consensus typically triggers Fed rate-cut expectations and dollar weakness. A standing open prediction has EUR/USD above 1.1600 on September 4, which implies a DXY around 98.8–99.2. Closing below 99.00 requires EUR/USD of ~1.165+, slightly more ambitious than the open prediction. No dedicated Polymarket DXY market; calibrated via EUR/USD correlation.

Data basis for this prediction

DXY 3. Sep 2026: 99,50 (Vantage Markets Analysis-Report, 31. Aug–4. Sep 2026)
Offene Vorhersage: EUR/USD > 1,1600 am 4. Sep 2026 → impliziert DXY ~98,8–99,2
Offene Vorhersage: NFP August 2026 < 75.000 Stellen (BLS, 4. Sep 2026)
TradingEconomics: DXY Monatsschwäche –0,35% (Stand 3. Sep 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] DXY lag am 4. September 2026 bei ~98,99 – unter 99,00. Nach schwachem NFP schwächte sich der Dollar weiter ab. Quelle: FXStreet / TradingView.

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