US 10-year Treasury yield closes above 4.60% on September 11, 2026 (US CPI release day)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 4. September 2026
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Predicted for 11. September 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
US10Y stood at 4.78% on September 4, 2026 — 18 bp above threshold. Fed funds at 3.50–3.75% (July decision), Polymarket pricing ~43% chance of a September hike, Brent near $95 and CPI headline expected above 3.3% (open Cassandra prediction) all support yields. A drop below 4.60% requires a sharp downside inflation surprise — not the base case.
Data basis for this prediction
- US 10Y Rendite: 4,78% am 4. September 2026 (TradingEconomics / CNBC)
- FOMC Juli 2026: Fed Funds bei 3,50–3,75%, 9:3-Abstimmung (Federal Reserve / Cambridge Currencies)
- Polymarket FOMC September 2026: ~43% Hike / ~57% Hold (Stand 4. September, OddsShopper)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Die US-10-Jahres-Rendite schloss am 11. September 2026 bei ca. 4,97% – deutlich über der 4,60%-Schwelle. Quelle: Trading Economics US Government Bond Yield / Bloomberg.
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