UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June 2026 (ONS, release July 22, 2026): Annual inflation above 2.5% YoY
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 14. July 2026
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Predicted for 22. July 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
ONS data for May 2026 showed UK CPI at +2.8% YoY (unchanged from April). Transport made the largest positive contribution at +6.8% YoY. For June, no deflationary shocks are visible: energy prices rose due to the Hormuz crisis, wages remain elevated, and services inflation is stubbornly high (Babypips: 'services surge'). UK inflation has consistently hovered in the 2.7–2.9% range throughout 2026. Structurally, a drop below 2.5% in a single month without a clear supply shock can be ruled out. No direct prediction market value for UK June CPI identified.
Data basis for this prediction
- ONS UK CPI Mai 2026: +2,8% YoY; Transport +6,8% YoY (ONS Bulletin, 17. Juni 2026)
- UK CPI Juni 2026: Veröffentlichung 22. Juli 2026, 07:00 BST (ONS Release Calendar)
- Babypips: 'UK CPI May 2026 Flat Headline, Surging Services' (17. Juni 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
ONS veröffentlichte am 22. Juli 2026 den UK-CPI für Juni 2026 mit +2,6 % YoY (gegenüber +2,8 % im Mai). Damit liegt der Wert klar über der Schwelle von 2,5 %, womit die Vorhersage eingetreten ist. Der Rückgang war durch sinkende Kraftstoffpreise (Diesel −10,7 p/Liter) und nachlassende Lebensmittelinflation (+1,7 %) getrieben, aber nicht stark genug, um unter 2,5 % zu fallen. Quelle: ONS-Bulletin 'Consumer price inflation, UK: June 2026' (ons.gov.uk) sowie übereinstimmende Berichte von MoneyWeek und RTE vom 22. Juli 2026.
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