📈 Economy
· Next Month
Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE: UBER) beats Q2-2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $0.84 per share (reported August 5, 2026, before market open)
Probability
65%
Uber guided Q2 2026 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.78–$0.82 per share. The analyst consensus at ~$0.84 is materially above the midpoint of Uber's own guidance – a recurring pattern that often leads to beats. Uber posted strong Q1 2026 results; Q2 Gross Bookings guidance is $56.25–57.75 billion. Key drivers: continued mobility growth in North America and Asia, plus Delivery expansion. Uber consistently beats when guiding conservatively. No Polymarket quote for Uber EPS; own estimate: ~65%.
Data basis for this prediction
- investor.uber.com: Uber Q1-2026-Ergebnisse & Q2-Guidance: EPS 0,78–0,82 USD (Pressemitteilung 2026)
- wallstreethorizon.com / tipranks.com: Uber Q2-2026-Berichtsdatum 05.08.2026 vor Börseneröffnung
- finance.yahoo.com: Analysten-Konsens Uber Q2 2026 Non-GAAP EPS ~0,83–0,84 USD (Stand Juli 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
Uber meldete am 5. August 2026 einen bereinigten Non-GAAP-EPS von 0,81 USD – das liegt unterhalb des in der Vorhersage genannten Konsens von ca. 0,84 USD. Der tatsächliche Analysten-Konsens zum Berichtszeitpunkt lag bei etwa 0,80 USD, den Uber knapp übertraf (+0,01 USD). Die Vorhersage scheitert also daran, dass die angenommene Konsenslinie von 0,84 USD deutlich zu hoch angesetzt war (der reale Konsens war ~0,80 USD) und der tatsächliche EPS von 0,81 USD diese Hürde klar verfehlt. Quellen: Uber IR Press Release (investor.uber.com), Markets Today/X, Zacks/TradingView ('Adjusted earnings per share of $0.81 topped the $0.80 forecast'), Investing.com Earnings Call Transcript.