Central Bank of Turkey (TCMB) holds one-week repo rate unchanged at 37.00% at 10 September 2026 meeting (confirmed by TCMB press release by 10 September 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 5. September 2026
·
Predicted for 10. September 2026
·
Based on: Historical Cycle
Turkey's central bank has kept its key rate at 37.00% for multiple consecutive meetings – fourth consecutive hold through July 2026. The TCMB recently raised its 2026 year-end inflation forecast to 24% (from 16%) and projects full-year inflation of 26%. These signals indicate a continued restrictive stance without imminent rate cuts. No explicit Polymarket/Kalshi market for TCMB decisions; estimate based on the consistent hold pattern and elevated inflation projections.
Data basis for this prediction
- TCMB: Leitzins seit vierter Sitzung in Folge unverändert bei 37,00% – zuletzt Juli 2026 (TCMB.gov.tr)
- TCMB: Jahresinflationsprognose 2026 auf 24% erhöht (zuvor 16%), Erwartung 26% Jahresinflation (Reuters, August 2026)
- TCMB Ratssitzungskalender 2026: Nächste planmäßige Sitzung 10. September 2026 (TCMB.gov.tr)
- Bloomberg-Ökonomen-Konsens: Haltung TCMB bei 37,00% im September 2026 als Basiserwartung
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Türkische Zentralbank (TCMB) hat den Einwöchigen Repo-Satz am 10. September 2026 unverändert bei 37,00 % belassen (5. Sitzung in Folge ohne Änderung). Bestätigt durch TCMB-Pressemitteilung ANO2026-23 und Turkish Minute.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Take-Two Interactive reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) results on November 9 after market close. Estimated analyst consensus: approx. -$0.45 EPS (heavy investment cycle around GTA VI and other AAA titles). TTWO has beaten consensus in 6 of the last 8 quarters; strong Recurrent Consumer Spending base (mobile, NBA 2K, GTA Online) consistently delivers positive surprises on cost discipline. Report date confirmed by TipRanks Earnings Calendar (as of Nov 8, 2026). Verification by TTWO Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 ET.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Constellation Energy reports Q3-FY2026 tomorrow (November 9, 2026) before market open. TradingView and Gurufocus put the EPS consensus at $3.90/share, with revenue consensus at $9.23B. CEG has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters — an 87.5% historical beat rate. Driver: Structurally rising nuclear power demand for AI data centers (e.g., Microsoft contracts) boosts reactor utilization and secures stable cash flows. Risk: Stock fell ~9% post-midterm results, reflecting repriced regulatory uncertainty that could overshadow near-term operational strength. Strong fundamentals and consistent beat history nevertheless support another consensus beat.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Walmart has beaten EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters. The official consensus is $0.64/share — identical to the top of management guidance ($0.62–$0.64). Analysts average $0.72 (range $0.70–$0.73), anticipating another structural beat. Drivers: Robust US consumer (October CPI ~3.5–3.7%; September retail sales +0.8% MoM), ongoing grocery market share gains, and strong e-commerce and advertising growth. Risk: Management lowered full-year guidance after Q2; macro headwinds from elevated prices could compress volume mixes. The consistent beat history and structural tailwinds prevail.