📈 Economy · Next Month

TTF natural gas (ICE front-month future) closes above EUR 70.00/MWh on 30 September 2026 (confirmed by ICE or Bloomberg closing price)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 23. August 2026 · Predicted for 30. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

55%

TTF rose to approximately EUR 65/MWh by 21 August 2026 — the highest since January 2023 — driven by Strait of Hormuz disruptions (stranding Qatari LNG cargoes) and European storage at only 62% (lowest seasonal reading on record). No direct Polymarket/Kalshi market available. Moving from EUR 65 to EUR 70 implies a further +7.7%; a winter premium typically begins building in September. Risks: Middle East ceasefire, unusually warm autumn, LNG supply recovery dampening prices. (Not investment advice.)

Data basis for this prediction

TTF Erdgas 21. Aug 2026: ca. EUR 65/MWh, höchster Stand seit Jan 2023 (TradingEconomics/EnergyRiskIQ, Aug 2026)
TTF 18. Aug 2026: EUR 62,50/MWh, ansteigend (EnergyRiskIQ, 18. Aug 2026)
Europäische Gasspeicher: 62 % – saisonal niedrigster Stand auf Zeichnung; Hormus-Disruption: Qatarische LNG-Ladungen blockiert (EnergyRiskIQ/Reuters, Aug 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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