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⚽ Sports · Next Week

Tour de France 2026 Stage 21 (26 July, Thoiry → Paris/Champs-Élysées, 133 km): Jasper Philipsen (Alpecin-Premier Tech, BEL) wins the stage

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 23. July 2026 · Predicted for 26. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
32%

Philipsen already won TdF 2026 Stage 17 (Chambéry–Voiron) and is in top form. The final stage to Paris crosses Montmartre three times (1.1km, 5.9%), which filters pure flat-stage sprinters and suits Philipsen's punch. Main rivals: Merlier, Kooij, Girmay. Bookmaker odds imply ~30–35% for Philipsen.

Data basis for this prediction
  • TdF 2026 Etappe 17 Sieger: Jasper Philipsen (procyclingstats.com, 23. Jul 2026)
  • TdF 2026 Stage 21 Streckenprofil: Thoiry–Champs-Élysées, 133 km, 3x Montmartre 1,1 km/5,9% (letour.fr)
  • Buchmacherquoten aggregiert: Philipsen ~30–35% für Stage 21 (Stand 23. Jul 2026)
  • Etappe 17 Ergebnis bestätigt: cyclingnews.com, 23. Jul 2026
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Identisches Ereignis wie id 1566: Jasper Philipsen gewinnt TdF-Etappe 21 in Paris per Sprintsieg. Bestätigt durch procyclingstats.
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