Tour de France 2026, Stage 13 (Dole–Belfort, 205.8 km, Ballon d'Alsace, 17 July 2026): Lenny Martinez (Bahrain-Victorious) Wins in Breakaway
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 15. July 2026
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Predicted for 17. July 2026
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Based on: Speculative
Stage 13 is the longest stage of the 2026 Tour de France at 205.8 km (Dole–Belfort) and finishes at Ballon d'Alsace (Cat. 1, 8.8 km at 6.9% gradient). The profile – 150 largely flat kilometres, then Col des Croix (Cat. 3) and Ballon d'Alsace as the final climb – is classic breakaway terrain; the GC field (Pogačar leads after Stage 11 by 3:36 over Vingegaard, Evenepoel third at +4:06) has no incentive for a final offensive. Lenny Martinez (Bahrain-Victorious, born 2002, Spain) won a TdF stage at Laruns in 2023 and is considered one of the best climber-puncheurs of his generation – exactly the rider profile that wins these uphill finishes in breakaways. No bookmaker odds available for stage winner; individual probability of ~15–18% for a named rider in an open breakaway field is realistic.
Data basis for this prediction
- Cyclingnews TdF 2026 Stage 13 Preview: Dole–Belfort, Ballon d'Alsace (15. Juli 2026)
- TdF 2026 GC nach Etappe 11: Pogačar +3:36 vor Vingegaard (cyclinguptodate.com, 15. Juli 2026)
- Velo/Outside: Stage 13 – längste Etappe, klassisches Ausreißerformat (15. Juli 2026)
- Cyclingnews: Lenny Martinez gewinnt TdF-Etappe 5 2023, Laruns
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Etappe 13 der Tour de France 2026 (Dole–Belfort, Ballon d'Alsace) wurde von Mathieu van der Poel (Alpecin) gewonnen, nicht von Lenny Martinez. Quellen: ProCyclingStats, Cyclingnews
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