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⚽ Sports · Tomorrow

Tommy Fleetwood (England) survives the cut at The 154th Open Championship 2026 (Royal Birkdale, after Round 2, July 18, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 17. July 2026 · Predicted for 18. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
72%

Fleetwood finished Round 1 at -1 (T24) — comfortable buffer above the projected cut line of +4 to +6 at Birkdale. As an English links specialist with multiple Major top-10s and home crowd support, his track record is strong. Kalshi/Polymarket price his tournament win at ~5.9%, indicating genuine competitiveness. For context: leader Herbert is at -8 after R1 (PGA TOUR, July 17, 2026).

Data basis for this prediction
  • Open Championship R1-Leaderboard: Fleetwood -1 (T24), Herbert -8 (1.) — PGA TOUR, 17.07.2026
  • Polymarket/Kalshi Siegwahrscheinlichkeit Fleetwood ~5,9% — Stand 17.07.2026
  • SI.com / CryptoSlate: Open Championship Prediction Markets, 17.07.2026
  • Royal Birkdale historische Cut-Linien: üblicherweise +4 bis +6 — PGA TOUR Archive
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Tommy Fleetwood überstand den Cut bei -3 nach einer 69 in Runde 2 – weit innerhalb der Cut-Linie von +1. Quelle: Open Championship R2-Leaderboard (17. Juli 2026)
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48%
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23%
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