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📈 Economy · Next Month

The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) beats Q3-FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $1.88 per share (5 August 2026, before market open, confirmed by Disney press release)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 26. July 2026 · Predicted for 5. August 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
64%

Disney+ and Hulu have been profitable since Q2 FY2025 and continue growing. The ESPN direct-to-consumer service (launched autumn 2025) expands the subscription portfolio. The Parks segment is recovering from earlier hurricane headwinds. The consensus of $1.88 per share (+16.8% YoY) looks conservative: Disney's historical beat rate over the last six quarters is approximately 80%. No Polymarket quote; calibrated on streaming momentum and operational improvement trends.

Data basis for this prediction
  • WDWMagic.com: 'Disney Q3 FY2026 earnings call scheduled for August 5' (14.07.2026)
  • EPS-Konsens $1.88, +16.8 % YoY (Analystenkonsens Stand Juli 2026)
  • Disney+ Profitabilität seit Q2 FY2025 (Disney Investor Relations)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
Disney meldete am 5. August 2026 für Q3 FY2026 ein bereinigtes EPS von 2,06 USD – deutlich über dem Konsens von ca. 1,86–1,88 USD (Beat von ~+10 % bzw. +0,18–0,20 USD). Treiber waren Rekordeinnahmen im Parks-Segment (10,0 Mrd. USD, +10 % YoY), starke Streaming-Profitabilität sowie Rückenwind durch Toy Story 5. Das Gesamtsegment-Betriebsergebnis stieg um 21 % auf 5,6 Mrd. USD. Quellen: CNBC (cnbc.com/2026/08/05/disney-dis-earnings-q3-2026.html), Qz.com, Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg (05.08.2026).
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