⚽ Sports · Next Week

The Open Championship 2026 (Royal Birkdale): Scottie Scheffler leads the overall leaderboard after Round 2 (Friday evening, July 17, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. July 2026 · Predicted for 17. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

22%

The 2026 Open takes place July 16–19 at Royal Birkdale. Scheffler is the defending champion (2025 win at –17, 4-stroke margin) and World No. 1 — bookmaker odds imply approximately 16–19% outright win probability (~+400 to +525). He is familiar with the links conditions from last year's defence. After Round 2, the eventual winner leads the board roughly 18–25% of the time; Scheffler as the pre-eminent favourite has an elevated share. Primary competition from McIlroy (+900) and Fleetwood (+2000). Wind and rain conditions increase dispersion.

Data basis for this prediction

CBS Sports / Covers.com: Scheffler +400–+525, McIlroy +900–+950, Fleetwood +2000 (Stand 12.07.2026)
TheOpen.com: Scheffler gewinnt 2025 Open Championship mit –17, 4 Schläge Vorsprung
Wikipedia: 2026 Open Championship, Royal Birkdale, 16.–19. Juli 2026

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Scottie Scheffler führt die Gesamtwertung nach Runde 2 des Open Championship 2026 nicht an. Jackson Suber führt mit -6; Scheffler liegt auf ca. Platz 14. Quellen: centraloregondaily.com, Fox Sports

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