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🍾 Beverages · Next Week

The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO) beats Q2-2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 0.92 per share (July 28, 2026, before market open)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. July 2026 · Predicted for 28. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
66%

Coca-Cola reports Q2 2026 on July 28 before NYSE open (6:30 am ET). EPS consensus is $0.92; revenue consensus ~$13.17B (Hudson Labs / TheMarketsDaily, as of July 21, 2026). KO has consistently beaten EPS consensus in the last twelve quarters, driven by global pricing power, volume recovery in emerging markets (Latin America, Asia-Pacific), and moderate input costs. Risk: FX headwind from a strong US dollar may weigh on reported EPS. No Polymarket market for this specific event.

Data basis for this prediction
  • TheMarketsDaily / Hudson Labs: KO Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens 0,92 USD, Umsatz-Konsens 13,17 Mrd. USD (21.07.2026)
  • Coca-Cola IR: Q2-2026-Ergebnisveröffentlichung 28. Juli 2026, 06:30 Uhr ET (investors.coca-colacompany.com)
  • Yahoo Finance / SeekingAlpha: KO konsistenter EPS-Beat über >10 aufeinanderfolgende Quartale (Jul 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
Coca-Cola berichtete am 28. Juli 2026 vor NYSE-Eröffnung ein bereinigtes (Non-GAAP) EPS von 0,97 USD je Aktie – und übertraf damit den Konsensschätzung von ca. 0,92 USD deutlich um rund 5 Cent (+5,4 %). Auch der Umsatz (13,38 Mrd. USD, +7 % YoY) lag über den Erwartungen (~13,16 Mrd. USD). Der globale Absatzvolumen wuchs um 5 %, angetrieben durch Indien, China, USA und Brasilien, und das Unternehmen erhöhte die Jahresprognose. Quellen: Offizielle Pressemitteilung der Coca-Cola Company (investors.coca-colacompany.com), Yahoo Finance/Zacks, CNBC.
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Boston Beer Company (NYSE: SAM) reports Q3 FY2026 (July–September 2026, release ~October 2026) year-over-year decline in Truly Hard Seltzer depletion volumes (confirmed by Boston Beer press release or Bloomberg by November 15, 2026)

The hard seltzer category has been in structural decline since its 2021 peak. Truly (second-largest brand after White Claw) already reported depletion volume declines of –6% to –9% YoY in Q1–Q2 FY2026. Drivers of ongoing pressure: market saturation, competition from RTD cocktails and FMBs, growth of non-alcoholic alternatives. Boston Beer itself cited 'continued category headwinds' for Hard Seltzer in recent guidance documents. A Q3 2026 reversal without external catalysts (product relaunch, price cut) is highly unlikely.

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Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE: TAP) reports organic net revenue decline year-on-year in its Q3 FY2026 quarterly report (July–September 2026, release approx. October/November 2026, confirmed by Molson Coors press release or Bloomberg by November 15, 2026)

The global beer market faces structural volume pressure in North America, collapse of the hard seltzer segment (Topo Chico, Coors Seltzer), and growing non-alcoholic competition. The energy price explosion (EU TTF +136% YoY, September 2026) increases production costs. ECB at 2.50% and Fed in rate-hiking mode weigh on household incomes and consumption. Comparable players Diageo, Pernod Ricard, and Brown-Forman are already flagged with organic revenue declines in open predictions. Molson Coors' mainstream brands (Coors Light, Miller Lite) carry higher price resilience than premium spirits — hence moderate calibration at 52%.

52%
Next Month · Predicted for 15. Nov 2026
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Brown-Forman Corporation (NYSE: BF.B) reports an organic net sales decline year-on-year in H1 FY2027 (May–October 2026, release approx. December 2026, confirmed by Brown-Forman press release or Bloomberg by December 15, 2026)

Brown-Forman (Jack Daniel's ~40% of revenue, Woodford Reserve, Old Forester) faces the same global premium whiskey downturn as Diageo and Pernod Ricard: distributor destocking, stagnant US domestic demand, weakness in Europe and Asia-Pacific. Fiscal year runs May–April; H1 FY2027 covers May–October 2026, results typically released in early December. IWSR 2026 confirms ongoing global American whiskey volume weakness. Open platform predictions for both Diageo and Pernod Ricard show the same organic decline pattern. No Polymarket market found for BF.B. Assessment: ~65% probability of organic decline.

65%
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