🍾 Beverages · Next Month

The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO) beats the Q2 2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $0.88 per share (July 28, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 17. July 2026 · Predicted for 28. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

67%

Coca-Cola reports Q2 2026 results before market open on July 28. The company has beaten consensus estimates for 8 consecutive quarters. KO benefits from strong EM pricing power, growing premium portfolio (Fairlife, BODYARMOR), and structural cost savings. Consensus ~$0.88 (based on trend: Q2 2024 actual $0.84 adjusted, ~4–5% annual growth). Headwind: USD strength weighs on international revenues on translation. Beat rate over last 8 quarters per Marketbeat: >85%. No Polymarket market for KO EPS.

Data basis for this prediction

Investors.coca-colacompany.com: Q2 2026 Earnings Release Datum 28.07.2026
Marketbeat.com: KO Earnings History — 8+ consecutive beats (Juli 2026)
FactSet-Trendextrapolation: KO Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens ca. $0.88
Tickerleague.com: S&P 500 Q2 2026 Earnings Season — Beat-Rate bisher ~67%

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Coca-Cola meldete am 28. Juli 2026 bereinigte Q2-2026-Ergebnisse von 0,97 USD je Aktie – ein klares Beat gegenüber dem Analystenkonsens von ~0,93 USD (die Vorhersage hatte den Konsens leicht unterschätzt mit ~0,88 USD, der tatsächliche Konsens lag bei 0,93 USD). Die EPS-Überraschung betrug +0,04 USD (+4,3 %). Umsatz stieg 7 % auf 13,38 Mrd. USD, organisches Wachstum +6 %, Volumen +5 %. KO hob zusätzlich die Jahresprognose an (EPS-Wachstum 9–10 % statt 8–9 %). Die Aktie stieg ~4–6 % im vorbörslichen Handel. Quellen: Coca-Cola Pressemitteilung (investors.coca-colacompany.com), Yahoo Finance, Investing.com, StockStory.

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Boston Beer Company (NYSE: SAM) reports Q3 FY2026 (July–September 2026, release ~October 2026) year-over-year decline in Truly Hard Seltzer depletion volumes (confirmed by Boston Beer press release or Bloomberg by November 15, 2026)

The hard seltzer category has been in structural decline since its 2021 peak. Truly (second-largest brand after White Claw) already reported depletion volume declines of –6% to –9% YoY in Q1–Q2 FY2026. Drivers of ongoing pressure: market saturation, competition from RTD cocktails and FMBs, growth of non-alcoholic alternatives. Boston Beer itself cited 'continued category headwinds' for Hard Seltzer in recent guidance documents. A Q3 2026 reversal without external catalysts (product relaunch, price cut) is highly unlikely.

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Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE: TAP) reports organic net revenue decline year-on-year in its Q3 FY2026 quarterly report (July–September 2026, release approx. October/November 2026, confirmed by Molson Coors press release or Bloomberg by November 15, 2026)

The global beer market faces structural volume pressure in North America, collapse of the hard seltzer segment (Topo Chico, Coors Seltzer), and growing non-alcoholic competition. The energy price explosion (EU TTF +136% YoY, September 2026) increases production costs. ECB at 2.50% and Fed in rate-hiking mode weigh on household incomes and consumption. Comparable players Diageo, Pernod Ricard, and Brown-Forman are already flagged with organic revenue declines in open predictions. Molson Coors' mainstream brands (Coors Light, Miller Lite) carry higher price resilience than premium spirits — hence moderate calibration at 52%.

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Brown-Forman Corporation (NYSE: BF.B) reports an organic net sales decline year-on-year in H1 FY2027 (May–October 2026, release approx. December 2026, confirmed by Brown-Forman press release or Bloomberg by December 15, 2026)

Brown-Forman (Jack Daniel's ~40% of revenue, Woodford Reserve, Old Forester) faces the same global premium whiskey downturn as Diageo and Pernod Ricard: distributor destocking, stagnant US domestic demand, weakness in Europe and Asia-Pacific. Fiscal year runs May–April; H1 FY2027 covers May–October 2026, results typically released in early December. IWSR 2026 confirms ongoing global American whiskey volume weakness. Open platform predictions for both Diageo and Pernod Ricard show the same organic decline pattern. No Polymarket market found for BF.B. Assessment: ~65% probability of organic decline.

65%

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