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💻 Technology · Next Month

Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE: TSM) reports Q3 FY2026 net revenue above USD 45.5 billion

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 15. September 2026 · Predicted for 16. October 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
62%

TSMC posted record Q2 2026 revenue of USD 40.20B (+36% YoY) with a net profit margin of 55.6% and announced an additional USD 100B Arizona investment. Its own Q3 guidance is USD 44.6–45.8B (midpoint ~USD 45.2B). A forecast above USD 45.5B sits in the upper quarter of the guidance range; TSMC has regularly exceeded its upper guidance bound amid the sustained AI chip boom (Nvidia, Apple, AMD). Publication expected approx. October 16, 2026, confirmed by TSMC Investor Relations or Bloomberg by October 17, 2026.

Data basis for this prediction
  • TSMC Q2 2026 Earnings Release (16.7.2026): Revenue USD 40,20 Mrd. (+36 % YoY), Net Income +77,4 % YoY (TSMC IR / CNBC)
  • TSMC Q3 2026 Revenue Guidance: USD 44,6–45,8 Mrd.; Nettogewinnmarge 55,6 % (TSMC IR, Juli 2026)
  • CNBC 16.7.2026: TSMC kündigt zusätzliche USD 100 Mrd. Arizona-Investition an nach Q2-Rekordgewinn
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] TSMC Q3 2026 Nettoumsatz $46,72 Mrd. USD > 45,5 Mrd. USD-Schwelle. Quelle: TSMC Form 6-K, Cryptobriefing.com (Oktober 2026).
Related Predictions
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) beats Q4 FY2026 EPS consensus of $4.06 per share — earnings report November 12, 2026 after market close (confirmed by Applied Materials Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 13, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

Applied Materials has beaten the EPS consensus in all four of its last reported quarters, with an average earnings surprise of +3.5%. The company's own Q4 guidance is $3.82–$4.22 per share; consensus at $4.06 sits near the midpoint, reflecting classic conservative management framing. Revenue is estimated at $10.30B (+51% YoY) — TSMC and Samsung have not pulled back H2 2026 capex plans. No Polymarket market directly available; a 100% beat streak over 4 quarters with a positive guidance range implies 70–75% probability. Risk: supply chain delays or expanded US export controls on advanced chips could force a Q5 inventory build.

72%
Next Week · Predicted for 12. Nov 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR) closes above $185.00 per share on at least one trading day in November 2026 — confirmed by Nasdaq or Bloomberg by December 1, 2026

PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.

42%
Next Month · Predicted for 30. Nov 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Cerebras Systems (NASDAQ: CBRS) closes below $100.00 per share on November 10, 2026 (confirmed by Nasdaq or Bloomberg by November 11, 2026)

CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.

62%
Next Week · Predicted for 10. Nov 2026