⚽ Sports · Next Week

Tadej Pogačar (UAE Team Emirates XRG, SLO) wins Stage 19 of the Tour de France 2026 (Gap → Alpe d'Huez, 128 km, July 24, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 21. July 2026 · Predicted for 24. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

50%

Stage 19 runs from Gap via Col du Bayard (4.7 km, 7.2%), Col du Noyer (7.2 km, 8.5%), Lac du Sautet and Col d'Ornon to the first of two consecutive Alpe d'Huez finishes (128 km — a Grand Tour first). Pogačar leads the GC with a comfortable margin and is the clear favourite at every summit finish. Bookmaker odds imply Pogačar as favourite on all Alpine stages (no separate Stage 19 market found). Counter-case: he may control Stage 19 to save energy for Stage 20 (also Alpe d'Huez, July 25), which is already an open prediction. Probability therefore set more conservatively than for Stage 20.

Data basis for this prediction

CyclingStage.com – TdF 2026 Stage 19 route: Gap → Alpe d'Huez, 128 km (Stand Juli 2026)
AlpeD'Huez.com – Stage 19 profile: Col du Noyer, Col d'Ornon, Alpe d'Huez (13,8 km/8,1 %)
olympics.com – TdF 2026 Vollständiger Etappenplan und Pogačar-Gesamtklassement-Führung (Stand 21. Juli 2026)

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Etappe 19 TdF 2026 gewann Carapaz aus der Ausreißergruppe – Pogačar siegte nicht. Quelle: Cyclingnews.

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