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⚽ Sports · Next Week

Tadej Pogačar (UAE Team Emirates) wins Tour de France 2026 Stage 14 (Mulhouse–Le Markstein Fellering, 155.3 km, July 18, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 14. July 2026 · Predicted for 18. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
62%

Stage 14 is the first real mountain showdown after Rest Day 1 – 155.3 km, 3,800m climbing, seven ascents, key section: Col du Haag (11.2 km, avg. 7.3%, ramps to 15%) and summit finish at Le Markstein. Pogačar leads the GC by 2:42 over Vingegaard. He won the identical summit finish in 2023 in a direct duel. The explosive high-mountain profile favors GC riders; a breakaway scenario is structurally unlikely. Bookmaker odds imply ~60–65% for Pogačar.

Data basis for this prediction
  • TdF Stage 14 Preview: Mulhouse–Le Markstein 155,3 km, Col du Haag 11,2 km/7,3% – CyclingNews, 14.07.2026
  • Pogačar GC-Führung +2:42 min nach Ruhetag 1 – CyclingNews, 14.07.2026
  • Le Markstein 2023 Etappensieger: Pogačar – Pro Cycling Stats
  • Buchmacherquoten TdF Stage 14: ~62% für Pogačar – Oddschecker aggregiert, 14.07.2026
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Pogačar gewann Etappe 14 (Mulhouse–Le Markstein Fellering, 155,3 km). Identisches Ergebnis, bestätigt durch mehrere Quellen (VAVEL, procyclingstats).
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