Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) beats Q3-FY2026 adjusted non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $0.66 per share (29 July 2026, after market close, confirmed by Starbucks press release)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. July 2026
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Predicted for 29. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
CEO Brian Niccol has run the 'Back to Starbucks' turnaround since September 2024 (store optimisation, menu simplification, culture reset). The consensus of $0.66 implies +32% YoY growth. Starbucks has beaten the EPS consensus in four of the past five quarters (80% beat rate). Lower commodity prices (coffee) and early same-store-sales recovery in US core markets support a beat. No Polymarket quote; calibrated on historical beat pattern.
Data basis for this prediction
- Investing.com: Starbucks Earnings Date 29.07.2026, EPS-Konsens $0.66
- EPS YoY-Wachstum +32 % (Analystenkonsens Stand Juli 2026)
- Starbucks CEO Brian Niccol 'Back to Starbucks' Strategie (September 2024)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Starbucks meldete am 29. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss einen bereinigten Non-GAAP-EPS von 0,85 USD – ein deutlicher Beat gegenüber dem Konsens von 0,66 USD (+28,8 %). Der GAAP-EPS lag bei 0,91 USD. Zusätzlich hob das Unternehmen die Jahresprognose für den bereinigten EPS auf 2,55–2,65 USD an (zuvor 2,25–2,45 USD). Die Aktie stieg im Nachhandel um ~4,3 %. Quellen: Nasdaq-Pressemitteilung (investor.starbucks.com), CNBC Q3-2026-Bericht, Yahoo Finance / Barchart Earnings-Snapshot.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.