SpaceX (expected NYSE or Nasdaq) successfully completes its IPO by December 31, 2026 (confirmed by SEC listing commencement or SpaceX press release)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 24. July 2026
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Predicted for 31. December 2026
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Based on: Speculative
SpaceX has already published its S-1, Goldman Sachs leads a 21-bank syndicate and began the roadshow on June 4, 2026. This is the most advanced IPO preparation stage for any US listing. Typically, listing follows a roadshow within 2–4 weeks – unless deliberately delayed. Key risks: sustained market correction from oil price shock and tech sell-off, political regulatory risks (Musk-administration tensions) or deliberate decision to remain private. Despite this progress, there is still ~35% residual risk of a slip beyond 2026. Own estimate: 62%.
Data basis for this prediction
- SpaceX S-1 public, Goldman Sachs leads 21-bank syndicate, roadshow began 04.06.2026 – IPOX Update 18.07.2026
- IndMoney: SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic als top US-IPO-Kandidaten 2026 (Goldman Sachs lead)
- 2026 IPO-Volumen: 46 IPOs / 28,2 Mrd. USD bis Mai 2026 (vs. 25 / 11,1 Mrd. USD Vorjahr) – PwC Midyear M&A Outlook
- Dealroom 2026 IPO pipeline: SpaceX 'targeting listing' (frühestens H2 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Samsung announced Intelligent Eyewear for 'Fall 2026' at Galaxy Unpacked London (July 2026). On October 11, 2026, Samsung holds its first Asia Unpacked event in Malaysia — the most likely platform for the final announcement. Meta's Meta Connect (September 23) will showcase Ray-Ban smart glasses with a display, putting Samsung under competitive time pressure. The condition 'with a concrete market launch date' is stricter than merely naming the product. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 46% — Samsung hardware launches regularly slip, and a display-integrated product is technically more demanding than a simple smart frame.