SpaceX Starship Flight 13: Starlink V3 payload successfully delivered to intended orbit (confirmed by July 22, 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 19. July 2026
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Predicted for 22. July 2026
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Based on: Speculative
Starship Flight 13 (scrubbed July 16 due to 4 failed Raptor engines) is retargeted for July 20, ~22:45 UTC. For the first time, Starship carries a real payload: 20 Starlink V3 satellites with solar array deployment and laser crosslink testing in orbit. Open Cassandra predictions already cover lift-off and Mechazilla catch. This prediction additionally requires the successful payload deployment — a significantly more demanding mission milestone, as the payload separation mechanism and solar panels are being used on Starship for the first time. The suborbital profile increases risk (no stable orbit as a buffer).
Data basis for this prediction
- Space.com SpaceX Starship F13 Live Updates: Retarget 20.07.2026, ~22:45 UTC
- Spaceflight Now: F13 Mission = erste Starlink-V3-Nutzlast (20 Satelliten)
- CNN: SpaceX Abort 16.07.2026 – 4 Raptor-Triebwerke ausgefallen, Neustart geplant
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Starship Testflug 13 wurde am 16. Juli abgebrochen; neuer Starttermin ist 23. Juli 2026, also nach dem Stichtag 22. Juli. Eine Bestätigung des Starlink-V3-Payloads in der vorgesehenen Umlaufbahn bis 22. Juli ist damit physisch unmöglich. Quellen: SpaceX.com, Space.com.
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