SpaceX Starship IFT-13 (launch 23 July 2026): Booster B13 successfully lands on drone ship (no Mechazilla catch, confirmed via SpaceX webcast)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 21. July 2026
·
Predicted for 23. July 2026
·
Based on: Speculative
Following the July 16, 2026 scrub — post-ignition anomaly: 4 Raptor engines failed to fire — IFT-13 received a new launch window of July 23, 2026. A Mechazilla booster catch is not planned for Flight 13 per SpaceX (earliest Flight 14+); B13 will attempt a conventional drone ship landing on 'Just Read the Instructions'. SpaceX substantially improved booster recovery rates through IFT-11 and IFT-12. Key risks: repeat engine anomalies at ignition (as on July 16) and guidance failures on booster descent.
Data basis for this prediction
- SpaceX.com / Space.com IFT-13 Scrub 16. Juli 2026: Post-Ignition-Anomalie, neues Fenster 23. Juli
- Spaceflight Now IFT-13 Update Juli 2026: Mechazilla-Fang erst ab Flug 14+, Booster auf Drone Ship
- Trefferquote-Historie dieser Plattform: IFT-13-Start am 16. Juli gescheitert (bereits dokumentiert)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] IFT-13 startete am 23. Juli nicht (zweiter Abort), daher war eine Drohnenboot-Landung unmöglich. Zudem war laut Missionsplan eine Golf-von-Mexiko-Platzwasserung geplant, kein Drohnenboot-Fang. (NASASpaceFlight.com, Spaceflight Now)
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Applied Materials has beaten the EPS consensus in all four of its last reported quarters, with an average earnings surprise of +3.5%. The company's own Q4 guidance is $3.82–$4.22 per share; consensus at $4.06 sits near the midpoint, reflecting classic conservative management framing. Revenue is estimated at $10.30B (+51% YoY) — TSMC and Samsung have not pulled back H2 2026 capex plans. No Polymarket market directly available; a 100% beat streak over 4 quarters with a positive guidance range implies 70–75% probability. Risk: supply chain delays or expanded US export controls on advanced chips could force a Q5 inventory build.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.