💻 Technology · Next Week

SpaceX Starship Flight 13 (launch July 23, 2026): All 20 Starlink V3 satellites successfully deployed into target orbit by July 25, 2026 (confirmed by SpaceX)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 20. July 2026 · Predicted for 25. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

55%

SpaceX has confirmed Starship Flight 13 for July 23, 2026 (launch window from 23:45 UTC). For the first time, 20 Starlink V3 satellites will be on board to massively expand network capacity. The previous attempt on July 16 was scrubbed after a post-ignition anomaly (four Raptors didn't ignite); SpaceX fixed the issue and successfully static-fired all 33 booster Raptors. Probability of successful launch and satellite deployment is ~55% — the engine issues are resolved, but Starship has historically produced surprises. Super Heavy will land via splashdown in the Gulf of America (no Mechazilla catch planned).

Data basis for this prediction

SpaceX.com: 'Starship's Thirteenth Flight Test' – Startbestätigung 20.07.2026
Space.com: 'SpaceX Starship Flight 13 – what to expect' – 20.07.2026; Startfenster 17:45 Uhr CT
Space.com: '33 Raptor-Triebwerke erfolgreich gezündet vor IFT-13' – Stand 20.07.2026
TeslaOracle.com: 'SpaceX confirms new date for IFT-13' – 20.07.2026

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Starship Flight 13 startete NICHT am 23. Juli 2026: Der Countdown endete bei T-0 in einem automatischen Abbruch (4 Raptor-Triebwerke zündeten nicht). Am 24. Juli wurde der nächste Versuch wegen Tropensturm Bertha abgesagt. Die im Prädikat geforderte Startbedingung '23. Juli' ist definitiv gescheitert; Satellitenauslieferung bis 25. Juli ist unmöglich. Quellen: Spaceflight Now, Space.com, KeepTrack.

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