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📈 Economy · Next Week

S&P Global Flash US Manufacturing PMI September 2026 falls below 53.5 points (release September 23, 2026, 9:45 AM ET, confirmed by S&P Global or Bloomberg by September 23, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 20. September 2026 · Predicted for 23. September 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event
Probability
55%

US Manufacturing PMI August 2026 (Final): 53.9 points — weakest growth since March 2026, decelerating for three consecutive months due to higher fuel costs, inventory drawdowns, and supply delays. The August Flash reading came in at 53.2 before being revised to 53.9, suggesting first prints are currently running below final figures. Michigan Consumer Sentiment collapsed to 47.8 in the September preliminary (second-worst on record); persistent trade disputes and rising fuel prices are likely to further dampen capital spending plans in September. No Polymarket market found. Consistent continuation of the downward trend implies a September Flash below 53.5.

Data basis for this prediction
  • S&P Global: US Manufacturing PMI Final August 2026 = 53,9 Pkt. (schwächstes Wachstum seit März, 3-Monatstief; 03.08.2026)
  • S&P Global Flash August 2026: Erstlesung 53,2 (5-Monatstief) vor Revision auf 53,9 (investinglive.com)
  • UofM Michigan Consumer Sentiment September 2026 vorläufig: 47,8 Pkt. (Joanne Hsu, ca. 12.09.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] S&P Global Flash US Manufacturing PMI September 2026 bei 52,0 – fällt unter 53,5 Punkte (von 53,0 im August). Quelle: S&P Global / FXStreet (veröffentlicht 23. September 2026, 15:45 Uhr MESZ).
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