📈 Economy · Next Week

S&P 500 (^GSPC) closes above 7,550 points on July 18, 2026

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 15. July 2026 · Predicted for 18. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

62%

The S&P 500 closed at 7,515.34 on July 13, 2026; Nasdaq Composite rose to 26,107 on July 14 (+0.9%). Polymarket assigns 62% probability to SPY above $760 (~7,600 SPX) in July – meaning the lower threshold of 7,550 by July 18 (three more trading days) is statistically well within reach. Goldman Sachs and Bank of America massively beat Q2 expectations. Headwinds: UnitedHealth miss (covered prediction, July 16) and Brent oil at $85.84 (+10% in a week) weighing via higher inflation expectations. Net, the earnings tailwind remains dominant.

Data basis for this prediction

S&P 500 Schlussstand 13. Juli 2026: 7.515,34 Punkte (CNBC/Yahoo Finance)
Nasdaq Composite 14. Juli 2026: 26.107,01 (+0,9 %) (Bloomingbit/Yahoo Finance)
Polymarket: 62 % Wahrscheinlichkeit SPY >760 USD im Juli 2026 (Stand 15. Juli 2026)
Brent Rohöl 15. Juli 2026: 85,84 USD/Barrel (+10 % Wochenbasis) – Geopolitik-Risikofaktor (Forbes Advisor, 15. Juli 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] S&P 500 schloss am Freitag, 17. Juli bei ca. 7.458–7.494 Punkten (unter 7.550). Da der 18. Juli ein Samstag ist (kein Kassamarkt), ist der Freitagsschluss endgültig. Quelle: Yahoo Finance / Trading Economics

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