Siemens AG (XETRA: SIE) beats the adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. EUR 2.85 per share at Q3 FY2026 earnings (expected August 7, 2026, pre-market)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 22. July 2026
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Predicted for 7. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Siemens has beaten EPS consensus in each of the past four consecutive quarters — most recently Q2 FY2026 with EUR 2.98 vs. consensus EUR 2.71 (+10% beat, Siemens IR, May 7, 2026). The Digital Industries segment (automation, software) benefits in 2026 from the AI infrastructure boom and reshoring investment. Smart Infrastructure (energy distribution, building technology) grows on the energy transition. Risks: automotive supply chain slowdown, China demand weakness. Bloomberg consensus Q3 FY2026 EPS: approx. EUR 2.85. No Polymarket contract; base rate from Siemens beat history ≈ 63%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Siemens Q2 FY2026: bereinigter EPS 2,98 EUR vs. Konsens 2,71 EUR, Beat +10 % (Siemens IR, 07.05.2026)
- Siemens Q3 FY2026 Ergebnistermin: 7. August 2026 (Siemens AG Finanzkalender 2026)
- Bloomberg Konsens Siemens Q3 FY2026 bereinigter EPS: ca. 2,85 EUR (Bloomberg, Stand Juli 2026)
- Siemens Digital Industries: Auftragsbestand Q2 FY2026 auf Rekordhoch, KI-Infrastrukturnachfrage robust (Reuters, Mai 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Siemens veröffentlichte die Q3-FY2026-Ergebnisse am 6. August 2026 (einen Tag vor der erwarteten Veröffentlichung). Das bereinigte Non-GAAP-EPS (EPS pre PPA) lag bei 3,14 EUR und das Basic-EPS bei 2,93 EUR – beide deutlich über dem Konsens von ca. 2,85 EUR. Das entspricht einem Beat von ca. +10 % beim Non-GAAP-EPS. Zusätzlich meldete Siemens Rekordaufträge (27,9 Mrd. EUR, +14 % yoy), Rekord-Free-Cashflow (+40 % auf 4,1 Mrd. EUR) und hob die Jahresprognose auf 11,20–11,50 EUR EPS pre PPA an. Treiber waren wie vorhergesagt das starke Wachstum bei Smart Infrastructure und Digital Industries. Quellen: Siemens Earnings Release Q3 FY2026 (press.siemens.com), Investing.com, aktiencheck.de.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.