📈 Economy · Next Month

Shell plc (NYSE: SHEL) beats the adjusted EPS consensus of approx. USD 2.94 per share in its Q2-2026 results (30 July 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 20. July 2026 · Predicted for 30. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

63%

Shell reported Q1 2026 adjusted earnings of USD 6.9B. Brent rose to approx. USD 88–90/barrel in Q2 (as of 20 July 2026) driven by Iran/Hormuz tensions – well above the Q1 average. Higher crude prices directly improve Shell's upstream margins. Beat rate over past 8 quarters: 6/8. Risk: European refining margin pressure, higher cash taxes. No direct Polymarket contract found.

Data basis for this prediction

Shell Q1 2026: bereinigter Gewinn 6,9 Mrd. USD (Shell Pressemitteilung, April 2026)
Brent Rohöl: ca. 88,10–90,40 USD/Barrel, 17.–20. Juli 2026 (Trading Economics / EIA)
Shell Q2 2026 Konsens bereinigter EPS: ca. 2,94 USD (MarketBeat / Nasdaq.com, Stand 20.7.2026)
Shell Q2 2026 Ergebnistermin: 30. Juli 2026 (Shell IR-Kalender)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Shell plc veröffentlichte am 30. Juli 2026 seine Q2-2026-Ergebnisse und übertraf den bereinigten EPS-Konsens deutlich. Der bereinigte EPS (CCS-Basis, bereinigt um Sondereffekte) lag bei 3,52 USD je ADS gegenüber dem Zacks-Konsens von 3,23 USD – ein Beat von +0,29 USD (+9 %). Der bereinigte Konzerngewinn betrug 9,84 Mrd. USD und übertraf damit den Analystenkonses von 8,92 Mrd. USD deutlich sowie mehr als verdoppelt gegenüber 4,26 Mrd. USD im Q2 2025. Treiber waren – wie in der Vorhersage antizipiert – gestiegene realisierte Ölpreise infolge Nahost-Spannungen sowie Rekordauslastung der Raffinerien und Rekordproduktion in Brasilien. Ein separater Investing.com-Bericht weist zwar ein GAAP-EPS von 1,76 USD (Konsens 2,80 USD, Miss) aus, jedoch bezieht sich die Vorhersage explizit auf den 'bereinigten' EPS, der klar geschlagen wurde. Quellen: Nasdaq/Zacks ('Shell Q2 Earnings Beat Even as Production & Oil Prices Fall'), Investing.com ('Shell Q2 2026 slides: operational strength drives $9.8B earnings'), IndexBox ('Shell Q2 2026 Earnings: Adjusted Profit More Than Doubles to $9.84 Billion').

Related Predictions

📈 Economy ✦ AI

Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) beats Q2 FY2027 EPS consensus of approx. -$0.45 per share — earnings report November 9, 2026 after close

Take-Two Interactive reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) results on November 9 after market close. Estimated analyst consensus: approx. -$0.45 EPS (heavy investment cycle around GTA VI and other AAA titles). TTWO has beaten consensus in 6 of the last 8 quarters; strong Recurrent Consumer Spending base (mobile, NBA 2K, GTA Online) consistently delivers positive surprises on cost discipline. Report date confirmed by TipRanks Earnings Calendar (as of Nov 8, 2026). Verification by TTWO Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 ET.

60%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 9. Nov 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

Constellation Energy (NASDAQ: CEG) beats Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus of $3.90 per share — earnings report November 9, 2026 before market open (confirmed by Constellation Energy Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 9, 2026, 12:00 PM ET)

Constellation Energy reports Q3-FY2026 tomorrow (November 9, 2026) before market open. TradingView and Gurufocus put the EPS consensus at $3.90/share, with revenue consensus at $9.23B. CEG has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters — an 87.5% historical beat rate. Driver: Structurally rising nuclear power demand for AI data centers (e.g., Microsoft contracts) boosts reactor utilization and secures stable cash flows. Risk: Stock fell ~9% post-midterm results, reflecting repriced regulatory uncertainty that could overshadow near-term operational strength. Strong fundamentals and consistent beat history nevertheless support another consensus beat.

68%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 9. Nov 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT) beats Q3-FY2027 EPS consensus of $0.64 per share — earnings report November 19, 2026 before market open (confirmed by Walmart Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET)

Walmart has beaten EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters. The official consensus is $0.64/share — identical to the top of management guidance ($0.62–$0.64). Analysts average $0.72 (range $0.70–$0.73), anticipating another structural beat. Drivers: Robust US consumer (October CPI ~3.5–3.7%; September retail sales +0.8% MoM), ongoing grocery market share gains, and strong e-commerce and advertising growth. Risk: Management lowered full-year guidance after Q2; macro headwinds from elevated prices could compress volume mixes. The consistent beat history and structural tailwinds prevail.

65%

Next Month · Predicted for 19. Nov 2026