Swiss National Bank (SNB) leaves the key interest rate unchanged at 0.00% on September 25, 2026, confirmed via SNB press release or Bloomberg
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 24. August 2026
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Predicted for 25. September 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
The SNB has kept its key rate at 0.00% since March 2026 with no change signals. Conditional inflation forecast for 2026–2028: 0.6–0.7% – far below any action threshold. Yahoo Finance/NewTrading (August 2026): no rate change expected through end of 2026. CHF appreciation pressure could even force SNB FX interventions. Futures consensus implies >90% probability for unchanged rate. September is the third of four annual SNB meetings.
Data basis for this prediction
- NewTrading/Yahoo Finance: 'SNB to hold rates at zero on Sep 25 and throughout 2026' (Aug 2026)
- SNB Bedingte Inflationsprognose 2026: 0,6 %; 2027: 0,7 % (SNB Bulletin Juni 2026)
- SNB März & Juni 2026: Leitzins 0,00 % jeweils bestätigt (SNB-Pressemitteilungen)
- CHF-Terminmarkt: <5 % implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit einer SNB-Zinsänderung Sep 2026 (Bloomberg)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Bitcoin at $78,136 (September 9, 2026). Kalshi markets assign ~83% probability of BTC touching $100,000 at any point in 2026. Polymarket gives BTC 68% odds to close above $90,000 by year-end. A year-end close above $100,000 (not just a touch) is more demanding: median year-end contract estimates imply ~$81,000. Arguments for >$100k close: historical Q4 seasonality (+49% in Q4 2024, +56% in Q4 2023), ETF inflows, institutional demand. Headwinds: active Fed hiking cycle (~3.75% current funds rate), 10yr yield at 4.86%.