Royal Caribbean Cruises (NYSE: RCL) beats Q2 2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $3.97 per share (July 28, 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. July 2026
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Predicted for 28. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
RCL guided Q2 adjusted EPS at $4.00–4.10 vs. Zacks consensus of $3.97. When a company's own guidance sits materially above the sell-side figure, it almost always beats. Cruise booking volumes and yield trends remain strong. No prediction market contract found; RCL's historical beat rate is ~80–85%.
Data basis for this prediction
- TipRanks/The Fly: 'Royal Caribbean sees Q2 adj. EPS $4.00–4.10, consensus $3.94' (Mai 2026)
- Yahoo Finance/Zacks: RCL Q2 2026 EPS-Konsensus $3.97, Umsatz-Konsensus $4,81 Mrd. (Stand Juli 2026)
- Royal Caribbean Q2 2026 Earnings Call geplant 28. Juli 2026, vor Börseneröffnung
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Royal Caribbean meldete am 28. Juli 2026 einen bereinigten EPS von 4,21 USD je Aktie und übertraf damit den Konsensus (je nach Quelle 3,93–3,97 USD) um rund 0,24–0,28 USD bzw. ca. 6–7 %. Das Unternehmen lag damit auch oberhalb der eigenen Guidance von 4,00–4,10 USD. Treiber waren starke Nachfrage, höhere Net Yields (+1,2 %, 100 Bp über Guidance), solide Bordausgaben und Rekordbuchungspreise, die geopolitische Störungen in Europa mehr als kompensierten. RCL hob zudem die Jahresguidance auf 17,73–17,87 USD an. Quellen: StockTitan (PR Newswire-Release), Alphastreet, TradingView/Zacks, ChartMill.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.