Swedish Riksdag election (13 September 2026): Vänsterpartiet (V) receives more than 7.0% of votes cast (confirmed by Valmyndigheten by 14 September 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 7. September 2026
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Predicted for 13. September 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
The polling aggregate (politpro.eu, early September 2026) shows Vänsterpartiet steady at 8.1%, confirmed by individual polls (Verian: ~8.4%, Demoskop: similar). The 7.0% bar sits 1.1 points below current polling — a typical safety cushion for Swedish mid-size parties. No prediction market for exact V result; own calibration based on aggregate.
Data basis for this prediction
- Vänsterpartiet Umfragen-Aggregat 8,1 % (politpro.eu / Wikipedia Riksdag-Umfragen, Stand 7. Sep. 2026)
- Verian-Umfrage (20. Aug.–2. Sep. 2026): V ~8,4 %
- Lines.com Riksdag-Prognose: S-Sieg 88 %, SD 2. Platz 73 % (Stand 7. Sep. 2026)
Verdict: Hit
Vänsterpartiet erzielte laut übereinstimmenden Quellen (SVT-Exitpoll: ~8 %, Wikipedia/politpro.eu: 8,3 %, 29 Sitze) in der Riksdag-Wahl am 13. September 2026 klar mehr als die vorhergesagten 7,0 %. Das Ergebnis von ~8,3 % liegt sogar nahe am Umfragen-Aggregat von 8,1 %, was die Vorhersage komfortabel bestätigt. Quellen: Wikipedia '2026 Swedish general election', politpro.eu/en/sweden/election/parliament/2026, SVT Valresultat 2026.
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