Remco Evenepoel (Soudal Quick-Step, BEL) wins Stage 16 of the Tour de France 2026 (ITT Évian-les-Bains – Thonon-les-Bains, 26.1 km, 21 July 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 19. July 2026
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Predicted for 21. July 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
The Tour's only individual time trial – 26.1 km with 500 m of elevation gain, featuring the technical Côte de Larringes and a fast lakeside run – is described by cyclingstage.com as 'tailor-made for Evenepoel'. The three-time TT world champion and Olympic TT gold medallist (Paris 2024) is the clear co-favourite alongside Filippo Ganna (Ineos). Evenepoel lies 3rd in GC (+4:06 behind Pogačar, +0:30 behind Vingegaard) and has a strong incentive to gain time in the Tour's only TT. The course profile suits all-round TT riders over pure aero specialists like Ganna. No Polymarket market available; bookmaker odds imply ~45% for Evenepoel, ~30% for Ganna.
Data basis for this prediction
- cyclingstage.com: 'TdF 2026 Favourites Stage 16: Evenepoel versus Ganna' – Kurs 'auf Evenepoel zugeschnitten' (19.07.2026)
- cyclingnews.com / olympics.com: TdF 2026 GC-Wertung – Evenepoel 3. (+4:06), Ayuso 4. (+4:22) (Stand 19.07.2026)
- velo.outsideonline.com: 'Stage 16 Preview: Tour's only ITT arrives deep in third week' (Juli 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Identische Begründung wie id 225/568: Evenepoel fährt nicht für Soudal Quick-Step, sondern für Red Bull–Bora–Hansgrohe. Der Stich 16 hat noch nicht stattgefunden, aber das genannte Team ist als falsch erwiesen.
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
Nina Kennedy is the reigning Olympic champion (Paris 2024 gold ahead of Katie Moon/USA) and co-world champion Budapest 2023. In July 2026 she already cleared 4.80m at the Diamond League meeting in Budapest – a strong form signal at the same venue. Competition from Katie Moon (USA), Sandi Morris (USA) and Alysha Newman (CAN, Olympic bronze 2024). Aggregated bookmaker odds imply ~35–38% for Kennedy.
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
Marileidy Paulino won gold in the 400m at the Paris 2024 Olympics and is the reigning Olympic champion. Femke Bol (NED), who long dominated, has switched to the 800m in 2026 (her Budapest 2026 entry confirmed in the 800m), so she does not compete in the 400m flat. This clears the path for Paulino: her next serious rivals would be Natalia Kaczmarek (POL, European champion) or Amber Anning (GBR). Aggregated bookmaker odds imply ~48% for Paulino.
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
Lando Norris sits P4 in the 2026 drivers' championship (171 points); McLaren is P3 in the constructors' championship (287 points). The Marina Bay street circuit favours high downforce – typical McLaren terrain. Norris won in Singapore in 2024 and knows the track well. Main rivals per bookmaker odds: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes, already Spain GP winner), Max Verstappen (Red Bull). Aggregated bookmaker odds imply ~22–25% for Norris. Polymarket: no dedicated market found for individual F1 races.