RatingDog Manufacturing PMI China (formerly Caixin) for July 2026 reads 51.0 or above (released August 1, 2026, confirmed by RatingDog/S&P Global)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 23. July 2026
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Predicted for 1. August 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
The private-sector RatingDog Manufacturing PMI (formerly the Caixin PMI, renamed after a Shenzhen credit-research firm acquired naming rights in 2025) averaged approximately 51.8 in Q2 2026 – slightly down from 52.2, but in expansion territory for six consecutive months. The NBS PMI for July (published July 31) is already an open Cassandra prediction (≥50.0). RatingDog focuses on export-oriented SMEs and can diverge from the NBS reading. Trade tensions with the US could create modest headwinds; domestic stimulus and consumption trends support continued expansion. Own estimate: ~57%.
Data basis for this prediction
- mql5.com / fxstreet.com: RatingDog/Caixin Mfg PMI – Q2-2026-Schnitt ~51,8, Release August 2026
- tradingview.com: Economic Calendar Asia – Caixin PMI Release 01.07.2026 (Muster für August 2026)
- estimize.com: Caixin Manufacturing PMI China Mai 2026 – Datenpunkt für Trend
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
Der RatingDog China Manufacturing PMI für Juli 2026 wurde am 1. August 2026 mit 50,9 Punkten veröffentlicht – knapp unterhalb der Schwelle von 51,0, die die Vorhersage als Mindestmarke definiert hatte. Der Wert sank gegenüber 51,7 im Juni und verfehlte die Markterwartungen von ~51,5–51,9. Wachstum blieb zwar bestehen (achter Expansionsmonat in Folge), aber das Tempo verlangsamte sich u. a. wegen schwächerer Auftrags- und Outputdynamik. Quellen: S&P Global / RatingDog Press Release (pmi.spglobal.com), investinglive.com ('eases to 50.9'), ng.investing.com ('China private factory PMI eases in July').
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Take-Two Interactive reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) results on November 9 after market close. Estimated analyst consensus: approx. -$0.45 EPS (heavy investment cycle around GTA VI and other AAA titles). TTWO has beaten consensus in 6 of the last 8 quarters; strong Recurrent Consumer Spending base (mobile, NBA 2K, GTA Online) consistently delivers positive surprises on cost discipline. Report date confirmed by TipRanks Earnings Calendar (as of Nov 8, 2026). Verification by TTWO Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 ET.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Constellation Energy reports Q3-FY2026 tomorrow (November 9, 2026) before market open. TradingView and Gurufocus put the EPS consensus at $3.90/share, with revenue consensus at $9.23B. CEG has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters — an 87.5% historical beat rate. Driver: Structurally rising nuclear power demand for AI data centers (e.g., Microsoft contracts) boosts reactor utilization and secures stable cash flows. Risk: Stock fell ~9% post-midterm results, reflecting repriced regulatory uncertainty that could overshadow near-term operational strength. Strong fundamentals and consistent beat history nevertheless support another consensus beat.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Walmart has beaten EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters. The official consensus is $0.64/share — identical to the top of management guidance ($0.62–$0.64). Analysts average $0.72 (range $0.70–$0.73), anticipating another structural beat. Drivers: Robust US consumer (October CPI ~3.5–3.7%; September retail sales +0.8% MoM), ongoing grocery market share gains, and strong e-commerce and advertising growth. Risk: Management lowered full-year guidance after Q2; macro headwinds from elevated prices could compress volume mixes. The consistent beat history and structural tailwinds prevail.